Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Diamondbacks at Mariners

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

9-10

1 - 6

Seattle Mariners

6-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Hancock			4.75	4-4
Z.Gallen			3.65	14-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 9-10	-1.5	-1.5+130	o7.5-102	-130
Mariners 6-12	u7	+1.5-155	u7.5-118	+110

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

April 27, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +105

1.05u

Under 7.5-115

0.5u

E.Hancock u4.5 Ks-136

0.5u

Z.Gallen o7.5 Ks+120

0.5u

Z.Gallen u7.5 Ks-140

Tweeted earlier: Gallen is under in 4/5 this season, and he only had a 22% K% on the road last year (under in 14/18 road starts). SEA is K prone, but their bats have also heated up of late. Over the L2 weeks, they’re at a 128 wRC+ vs righties (leads MLB), and a 26% K%. But they are driving pitch counts up (12.5% walk rate is also the highest). Even giving Gallen a generous 29% K%, I’d have him at about 6.9 Ks.

SEA +123

0.62u

Bet to +114

Over 7.5+101

0.5u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Diamondbacks RPs over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

The Diamondbacks are 73-18 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Eugenio Suarez struck out in 31% of PA's in the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Andres Munoz had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 25th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +124
Apr 24th	@TEX	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 22nd	@COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 11	SEA -120
Apr 21st	@COL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 10.5	COL -191

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	64	5	3	3
RS.McGough, P	22	1	0	3
RJ.Martinez, P	29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2J.Pederson, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Carroll, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Newman, SS	1-3	1	1	1
9P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Hancock, P	83	6	4	1
RT.Thornton, P	11	1	2	0
RC.Bolton, P	33	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Raleigh, C	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	1-4	1	1	4
5J.Polanco, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	1	1
8L.Raley, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0