Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2023

Dodgers at Rangers

8:05 pm • BSSW

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

16 - 3

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Dunning			3.70	12-7
B.Miller			3.76	11-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5+115	o9.5+100	-144
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-139	u9.5-120	+120

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

July 22, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

TEX +115

B.Miller u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Only under in 3/9 starts, but has failed to finish 6 innings in each of his L5 starts - has a quick leash the third time through the order. Miller in the bottom 19th percentile of zone % amongst 244 pitchers with 40+ IP - I like that the rangers have the 9th lowest chase rate here. Dodgers could use length, but I don’t see them pushing him much the third time through.

LAD -130

$192.31

Love this spot. Dodgers are the #1 team against the run line after a loss, and their offense has been starting to put on a clinic on the road over the L10. Miller also has road/home splits. Smaller sample size but great on the road, easy to get to at home. Dodgers also take a ton pitches P/PA and should get Dunning out after 5 and see that BP. Like the dodgers on the ML and -1.5

LAD -120

0.5u

Need -120 or better

LAD -120 (F5)

Dunning due for negative regression heavy & expecting no Seager

LAD -122 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -142

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 22, 2023 UTC

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The Dodgers are 55-40 (.579) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mookie Betts is slugging .573 on breaking pitches since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Will Smith has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Freddie Freeman had an OPS of .723 with two strikes last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Dane Dunning allowed an OPS of .590 (333 PAs) with two strikes last season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 55% (600/1,089) of the time since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- 0 Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 22nd	LAD	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9.5	LAD -126
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -124
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -134
Jul 18th	TB	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +105
Jul 16th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -140

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	85	6	6	3
RY.Almonte, P	14	1	1	0
RP.Bickford, P	28	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
1Y. Hernández, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	4-5	3	2	3
2J.DeLuca, RF	1-1	1	1	3
3W.Smith, C	1-5	2	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	3-5	4	1	2
5J.Martinez, DH	2-3	2	1	4
6D.Peralta, LF	4-5	1	0	2
7J.Heyward, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Heyward, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Outman, CF	1-4	1	0	1
9M.Rojas, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	79	3	1	5
RG.Otto, P	60	2	3	5
RY.Rodriguez, P	45	2	5	3
RB. Miller, P	39	2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
1J.Smith, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Jankowski, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
3S.Huff, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Grossman, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4R.Grossman, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.Heim, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Garver, C	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Duran, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0	0