Rays vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Rays at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSW

Tampa Bay Rays

9-13

2 - 3

Texas Rangers

13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 9-13	-1.5+125	o9-110	-130
Rangers 13-9	+1.5-150	u9-110	+105

Tuesday 12:05 a.m.

July 18, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

TEX +110

1.1u

TB -132 (F5)

0.76u

S.McClanahan u5.5 Ks-110

0.28u

Small to -125

S.McClanahan u5.5 Ks-112

Available at FanDuel. Once again, I need convincing that McClanahan is fully good to go. Even if he is, he's on the road facing a Rangers team with a 19.9% strikeout rate on the active roster against lefties, which will make it a tough hill to climb regardless. I want McClanahan to prove me wrong by going out and showing his health. Otherwise, this number is too high.

TEX +100

Available at FanDuel. This line seems to assume that Shane McClanahan is fully healthy, which may be true. But we haven't seen him get a full workload in several weeks, and the fact that he got pushed back to Monday is a bit worrisome. On the other side is Dane Dunning, who doesn't get many strikeouts but has had really nice batted-ball data even in the rotation. Both offenses are solid, but the Rangers' 140 wRC+ against lefties would give McClanahan issues if he isn't fully at 100%. My model has the Rangers at 57.4% to win, up from 50.0% implied.

S.McClanahan o1.5 BB-125

TEX +114 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +112

TEX +105

$50.40

TEX +110

0.55u

Bet to +100

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The Rays are 53-26 (.671) after a home win since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Adolis Garcia has 22 home runs on breaking pitches since last season -- seventh most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Jason Adam has thrown his curveball 34% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.

Josh Smith has an OPS of just .596 since last season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 379 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Nick Sandlin has allowed an OPS of just .542 (309 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 2-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	12-10	10-3	2-7	6-4	5-6
Rays	8-14	8-11	0-3	6-9	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	7-15	1-12	6-3	3-7	4-7
Rays	9-11-2	8-9-2	1-2	7-6-2	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	13-9	10-3	3-6	8-2	4-7
Rays	9-13	9-10	0-3	8-7	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -140
Jul 15th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -170
Jul 15th	CLE	W 12-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TEX -140
Jul 9th	@WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	WSH -217
Jul 8th	@WSH	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	WSH -215

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Jon Gray
P
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Jack Leiter
P
Leiter is out with blister
Out
Cody Bradford
P
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.McClanahan, P	69	6	6	2
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	1	0
LC.Poche, P	19	1	2	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	12	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Siri, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Lowe, DH	2-3	1	1	1
7H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Ramirez, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Walls, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Walls, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Dunning, P	96	7	4	2
RJ.Leclerc, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Jung, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Smith, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Garver, C	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, DH	2-3	1	0	0
8E.Duran, LF	1-3	1	1	2
8T.Jankowski, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-3	0	0	0