Dodgers vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2023

Dodgers at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Los Angeles Dodgers

6-6

5 - 8

Boston Red Sox

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Paxton			4.50	7-5
J. Urías			4.60	11-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 6-6	-1.5+120	o10-110	-130
Red Sox 4-4	+1.5-146	u10-110	+108

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

August 26, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 10-104

J.Urias u5.5 Ks-115

1.15u

MGM. Urias is under this line in 11/L15 starts. He’s had some bigger starts against weaker lineups, but I’ll trust the Sox bats today. 13/17 lefty starters under this line at Fenway. Over the L30 days, the Red Sox have the 10th lowest CSW%. Urias has also been poor on the road this season with a 6.83 ERA, and under this line in 7/9 starts.

LAD -128 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -133

Featured Insight
Red Sox Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- sixth-highest in MLB. Dodgers have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- third-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Dodgers have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road since last season -- highest in MLB (144 games). The Red Sox have allowed 5.0 runs per game at home since last season -- eighth-highest in MLB (145 games).

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The Dodgers are 37-41 (.474) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Mookie Betts is slugging .787 over the last 30 days -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. James Paxton has allowed a SLG of .648 vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (266/787) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (110/310) when he's behind in the count this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 25th	LAD	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 10	LAD +108
Aug 24th	@HOU	W 17-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS +125
Aug 24th	@HOU	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -110
Aug 23rd	@HOU	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +108
Aug 22nd	@HOU	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 9	HOU +105

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out

Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is questionable with arm
Questionable
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ. Urías, P	91	6	9	6
RG.Varland, P	14	1	1	0
LB.Hudson, P	26	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, RF	3-6	1	0	1
1M.Betts, 2B	3-6	1	0	1
2F.Freeman, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3W.Smith, C	0-4	1	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
4M.Busch, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Rosario, 2B	1-2	1	0	1
5J.Heyward, PH	2-2	0	0	0
5J.Heyward, RF	2-2	0	0	0
6E.Hernandez, CF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Outman, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Taylor, LF	1-4	1	0	1
8C.Taylor, SS	1-4	1	0	1
9M.Rojas, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, LF	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	92	4.1	4	4
RJ.Winckowski, P	20	1.1	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	8	0.1	1	0
RG.Whitlock, P	40	1.2	3	1
RC.Martin, P	4	0.1	1	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2J.Turner, 1B	3-4	2	1	2
3R.Refsnyder, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4R.Devers, SS	0-3	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	2-4	1	1	3
6T.Story, DH	0-3	1	0	0
6T.Story, SS	0-3	1	0	0
7P.Reyes, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	1-1	0	0	1
7T.Casas, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 2B	0-4	0	0	1
8L.Urias, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
8L.Urias, 2B	0-4	0	0	1
9C.Wong, C	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Wong, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	1-3	1	0	0