Dodgers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Dodgers at Twins

11:40 pm • SportsNet LA

Los Angeles Dodgers

18-10

6 - 3

Minnesota Twins

12-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Varland			7.61	0-6
T.Glasnow			3.49	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 18-10	-1.5-114	o8-115	-188
Twins 12-16	+1.5-106	u8-105	+157

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN +160

0.3u

T.Glasnow o7.5 Ks-140

1.04u

M.Betts o0.5 HR+400

0.5u

@AnthonyDabbundo

MIN +160

... non div dog sp k rate >16% Overall: 462-556-1,45% (ROI:16%) Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%)

LAD o4.5 Team Total-124

$50.00

MIN +158

0.7u

Have the Twins at 43.1%, up from 38.8% implied at this number. Have Louie Varland projected as a slightly below average starter due to the amount of hard contact he allows and am still showing value. Dodgers are great -- just don't think the Twins are slouches to the point where they should be +158 at home.

Featured Insight
Dodgers have won 63% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Twins have won just 45% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- eighth worst.

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Featured Insight
The Twins scored 3.0 runs per game while leading last season -- ninth highest in MLB (117 games). The Dodgers allowed 3.0 runs per game while trailing last season -- ninth highest in MLB (98 games).

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Mookie Betts slugged .574 on breaking pitches last season -- fifth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Griffin Jax threw his slider 53% of the time last season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .714 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OPS of just .597 (577 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season -- 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 62% (10/16) against Tyler Glasnow with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season -- tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 97th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strike rate of 83% (29/35) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Twins are 34-12 (.739) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Twins are 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Dodgers are 49-17 (.742) after a loss since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Twins' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	14-14	10-5	4-9	12-9	2-5
Dodgers	14-14	9-6	5-8	12-13	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	10-15-3	5-9-1	5-6-2	8-11-2	2-4-1
Dodgers	15-13	8-7	7-6	14-11	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	12-16	9-6	3-10	11-10	1-6
Dodgers	18-10	12-3	6-7	17-8	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	LAD	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +114
Apr 6th	CLE	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -170
Apr 4th	CLE	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7	CLE -166
Apr 3rd	@MIL	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -112
Apr 2nd	@MIL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL +100

Clayton Kershaw
SP
Kershaw is out with toe
Out
Michael Kopech
RP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Tony Gonsolin
SP
Gonsolin is out with back
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
SP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Willi Castro
2B
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Glasnow, P	88	7	14	0
LA.Vesia, P	9	1	1	1
RC.Brogdon, P	21	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, SS	1-2	1	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	1-5	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4W.Smith, C	2-5	2	1	3
5M.Muncy, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Hernandez, RF	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	2-4	1	1	3
8C.Taylor, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9G.Lux, 2B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	97	5	6	6
RC.Sands, P	35	2	4	0
RB.Stewart, P	24	1	2	0
RJ.Alcala, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4B.Buxton, CF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Wallner, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Castro, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	1	1
9A.Martin, LF	2-3	0	0	0