Giants vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Giants at Brewers

12:10 am • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

1-0

3 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
K.Harrison			4.56	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 1-0	+1.5	+1.5-149	o8-105	+143
Brewers 1-0	u8	-1.5+124	u8-115	-170

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

August 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

F.Peralta u7.5 Ks-136

1.36u

Under in 8/L8, with a CSW% in the lower 20th percentile of qualified starters since 7/1. Giants do K a lot, but they’re also patient, with 7-8 guys in the lineup today with above avg pitches per PA, and as a team are well below avg with their chase rate. Should be able to limit Freddy’s volume.

MIL -166

0.3u

F.Peralta u2.5 BB-175

Bet365

MIL o2.5 Team Total (F5)+120

1.2u

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road since last season -- lowest in MLB (149 games). The Giants have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- third lowest in MLB (147 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 28, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 131-10 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Thairo Estrada has an OPS of just .692 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .478 (509 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	SF	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8	SF -115
Aug 25th	@ATH	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	ATH -146
Aug 24th	@ATH	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -123
Aug 24th	@ATH	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -115
Aug 22nd	@STL	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -130

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Harrison, P	92	4.2	7	5
RS.Hjelle, P	9	0.1	0	0
RA.Warren, P	24	2	0	0
RS.Bivens, P	13	0.1	0	0
LE.Miller, P	15	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-3	0	0
2T.Fitzgerald, SS	2-4	1	0
3M.Conforto, LF	1-3	1	1
3C.Casali, C	0-0	0	0
4H.Ramos, DH	1-3	0	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	1	0
6M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-4	0	0
7T.Estrada, 2B	2-4	0	1
8G.McCray, CF	0-4	0	0
9A.Knapp, C	0-2	0	0
9J.Encarnacion, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Encarnacion, LF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	105	6	8	0
RT.Megill, P	15	1	0	1
LJ.Koenig, P	23	0.2	2	2
RJ.Payamps, P	6	0.1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2B.Perkins, CF	2-3	1	0	2
3W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Sanchez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, DH	1-1	0	0	0
5E.Haase, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5E.Haase, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Monasterio, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
7B.Turang, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Frelick, RF	0-2	1	0	0
9G.Mitchell, RF	0-0	0	0	0