Giants vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Giants at Phillies

11:10 pm • ESPN

San Francisco Giants

13-3

4 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			7.10	3-7
L.Webb			3.47	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 13-3	-1.5+152	o8.5-102	-109
Phillies 8-8	+1.5-182	u8.5-116	-111

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

SF -107

1.07u

SF -114 (F5)

1.14u

N.Castellanos u0.5 Total Bases+152

L.Wade o1.5 Total Bases+155

L.Webb u5.5 Ks-138

Ballpark pal projects 4.74 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -161 giving us value at this number

SF -125 (F5)

1.25u

Over 8-105

1.9u

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

PHI -105

0.95u

PHI -1.5+187

0.5u

PHI -105 (F5)

0.95u

Phillies are free now say it with me

PHI -108

0.93u

Best mo fucking team in baseball fool

L.Webb u5.5 Ks-130

1.3u

7/7 to the under this season, and the Phillies are raking (141 wRC+ and 16.7% K% over the L2 weeks vs righties). Good with this at the -145 on DK too.

PHI -110

$50.00

PHI +100

PHI -103

1.5u

Logan Webb sucks toes

SF -115

SF -117

1.17u

K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+140

Ballpark pal projects a strong advantage for Schwarber and +ev bet with devig odds of +120 giving value to this number

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -106

PHI +105

0.53u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
Giants have a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Phillies right-handed hitters have struck out 35% against LHP over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Giants have scored three or more runs in an inning just 10 times (3%) this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The +850 SGP for Sunday Night Baseball
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May 5, 2024 UTC
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The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (314/1,023) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (687/1,899) against right-handed batters since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	SF	W 14-3	-1.5 W	O 7	PHI -172
May 3rd	SF	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -180
May 1st	@LAA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -207
May 1st	@LAA	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	PHI -175
Apr 30th	@LAA	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 9	LAA -155

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P	98	4	6	4
RS.Hjelle, P	30	2	6	0
LT.Rogers, P	19	1	2	0
RR.Walker, P	12	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Lee, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
3W.Flores, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Conforto, LF	2-4	0	0	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yastrzemski, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7T.Estrada, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8B.Sabol, C	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Slater, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Reetz, C	1-1	1	1	1
9N.Ahmed, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	90	6.1	7	3
LG.Soto, P	16	0.2	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	19	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	17	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	1	0	0
2J.Realmuto, C	3-4	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8E.Sosa, SS	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Rojas, CF	0-4	0	0	0