Giants vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Giants at Phillies

10:40 pm • Apple TV+

San Francisco Giants

0-0

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
J.Hicks			4.10	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	+1.5-155	o7.5+100	+150
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+130	u7.5-115	-180

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

SF +148

0.25u

Small to +145

Under 7.5-105

0.95u

@AnthonyDabbundo

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

Under 7.5-115

SF +135

0.5u

J.Hicks o4.5 Ks-115

1.15u

SF +130

J.Hicks o4.5 Ks-115

1.15u

I’m going to take a flier on Hicks after a dominant 9 K performance. He’s started to unleash his split-finger a lot more, including to righties (14 Ks on 30 PAs ending with the pitch, 47% whiff rate). PHI is tough to K, but they’ve struggled vs the split finger (bottom 10 in wRC per 100 pitches this and last season). Overall, he’s over in 4/6 starts, so it’s not like we’re playing an inflated number here.

Under 8-115

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-105)

Featured Insight
Giants have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Phillies right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .830 over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Giants RPs have allowed an OPS of .804 (217 PAs) over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Matt Chapman is batting just .166 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season -- most among NL Relievers -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@LAA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -207
May 1st	@LAA	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8	PHI -175
Apr 30th	@LAA	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 9	LAA -155
Apr 28th	@SD	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI +122
Apr 28th	@SD	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -102

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Hicks, P	88	4	3	2
RS.Hjelle, P	28	2	4	0
RL.Jackson, P	16	1	0	0
LT.Rogers, P	19	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Lee, CF	1-5	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	2-3	0	0
2W.Flores, PH	0-1	0	0
3J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Conforto, LF	1-4	0	0
5P.Bailey, C	0-0	1	0
5T.Murphy, C	1-3	0	0
6M.Chapman, 3B	0-3	1	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-4	0	0
8T.Estrada, 2B	2-4	0	2
9N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	89	4	4	2
LM.Strahm, P	15	1	2	0
RS.Dominguez, P	18	1	1	0
RO.Kerkering, P	20	1	0	1
RJ.Hoffman, P	15	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-3	1	0
2E.Sosa, SS	1-1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-1	1	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	1	1
5J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0
6B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	2
7N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-4	0	0