Guardians vs. Angels Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2024

Guardians at Angels

8:07 pm • BSW

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

5 - 4

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Detmers			6.70	4-9
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+145	o8.5-106	-110
Angels 0-0	+1.5-175	u8.5-114	-110

Sunday 8:07 p.m.

May 26, 2024

Angel StadiumAnaheim

D.Fry o1.5 Total Bases+150

LAA -107

CLE -115

0.87u

Over 8-114

0.88u

B.Lively u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Under in 5/7 - yes one was vs LAA, but LAA hit him relatively hard and had 7 baserunners in 6 innings. Lively also a big regression candidate - 2.84 ERA / 3.94 xERA with a low ground ball rate and getting hit hard (45% hard hit). Bullpen in good shape, and Lively is not someone they love facing a lineup a third time (.845 OPS). Angels slightly above average offensively bs righties the last two weeks (105 wRC+) and 8th in pitches per PA.

Featured Insight
Guardians have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Angels have scored three or more runs in an inning just 91 times (5%) since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB.

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The Angels are just 26-35 (.426) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Guardians are 13-75 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Angels are just 17-20 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .569.

David Fry has an OPS of 1.128 this season -- best among hitters with at least 73 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Tyler Kinley has allowed an OPS of 1.013 (96 PAs) this season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .560 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Reid Detmers has allowed a SLG of .432 non-fastballs this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (95/196) when behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 98th Percentile.

Ben Lively had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) -- lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (38/86) against Reid Detmers when he's behind in the count this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Angels are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Angels' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Angels' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	CLE	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE +124
May 25th	CLE	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 8	CLE -106
May 22nd	@HOU	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	LAA +169
May 22nd	@HOU	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	HOU +167
May 21st	@HOU	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 8	LAA +184

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	92	7	5	2
LS.Hentges, P	10	0.2	2	2
RS.Barlow, P	10	0.1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-3	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	1
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-5	0	0
5D.Fry, LF	0-4	0	0
6J.Rodriguez, RF	2-4	1	2
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	1-4	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Detmers, P	96	5	8	3
RA.Cimber, P	18	0.1	0	2
LM.Moore, P	13	0.2	2	0
RR.Contreras, P	16	1	2	0
RC.Fulmer, P	18	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Schanuel, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Rengifo, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
2L.Rengifo, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3T.Ward, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Adell, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Moniak, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.Neto, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	1-2	1	1	2
8L.O'Hoppe, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8L.O'Hoppe, C	1-2	0	0	0
9L.Guillorme, 3B	2-2	0	0	0
9K.Paris, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Paris, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Calhoun, PH	0-1	0	0	0