Angels vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 22, 2024

Angels at Astros

6:10 pm • BSW

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

2 - 1

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
T.Anderson			3.81	10-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	+1.5-120	o9-107	+169
Astros 0-2	-1.5+101	u9-112	-202

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

May 22, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

LAA +170

$85.00

Tailing Olly, he’s cold but also due

HOU -175 (F5)

1.75u

HOU -185

1.85u

HOU -170 (F5)

0.43u

Small to -185

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.2u

HOU -184

K.Tucker o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-150

H.Brown u16.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Under in 7/8 starts this season - really struggling with pitch efficiency (4.17 pitches per PA is the 6th highest mark out of 127 qualifiers). The Angels are at 3.94 (8th highest), and have been decent offensively (.719 OPS and a 103 wRC+ over the L2 weeks vs righties). But overall, Brown has just been too wild (42% zone%) without drawing chases (33rd percentile). Astros bullpen has enough available arms with a day off tomorrow.

HOU -172

0.86u

Bet to -182

Over 9-105

1.05u

Featured Insight
The Angels have scored 3.2 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Astros have allowed 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (14 games).

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Featured Insight
Astros RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB. Angels have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 89-10 (.899) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Astros are just 22-81 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Angels are just 39-52 (.429) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Angels are just 31-55 (.360) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Jose Altuve has an OPS of .888 since last season -- 13th best among hitters with at least 310 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Jose Suarez has allowed an OPS of .933 (285 PAs) since last season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of .931 since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Jose Suarez has allowed an OPS of .933 (285 PAs) since last season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an OPS of just .056 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .672 -- 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 8% (4 SO in 49 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .514 (37-for-72) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .321 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 22nd	LAA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -202
May 21st	LAA	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8	LAA -222
May 19th	MIL	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -140
May 18th	MIL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -180
May 18th	MIL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	HOU -108

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Anderson, P		95	8	4	1
RL.Garcia, P		12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Schanuel, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2L.Rengifo, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3T.Ward, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Calhoun, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Adell, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Thaiss, C	0-3	0	0	0
7Z.Neto, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Guillorme, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
8M.Moniak, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9K.Paris, 2B	1-2	1	1	2
9K.Paris, SS	1-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	96	6	3	2
LP.Mushinski, P	14	1	0	0
RS.Martinez, P	16	1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	8	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0
7J.Meyers, CF	1-3	1	0
8M.Dubon, LF	2-3	0	1
9V.Caratini, C	1-3	0	0