Guardians vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2024

Guardians at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

8 - 0

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-166	o7.5-102	+130
Mariners 0-0	-1.5+140	u7.5-122	-155

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 03, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 10.5 (Live)-130

0.38u

L.Allen o4.5 Ks-155

M.Haniger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-115

1.15u

Under 7.5-120

MLB Total System #1

SEA -160 (F5)

1.6u

SEA -0.5 (F5)-114

$57.00

@JakeMLB41

J.Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases+105

Julio posted 2 straight seasons with 130 wRC+ or better against LHP and draws a great matchup against Logan Allen who projects as a below-avg arm. Last season had a near 40% hard-hit rate, league average barrel rate and his stuff numbers were a bit of a concern. Over performed by a half-run & think this is a great spot for JROD to get XBH & possibly even his first HR of the year

Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 4.1 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (168 games). The Mariners have scored just 4.1 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB (168 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 35% against the MarinersRPs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB.

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The Mariners are 79-45 (.637) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .484 since the 2022 season -- worst among hitters with at least 490 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Andres Munoz has allowed an OPS of just .570 (467 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (2,002/2,825) in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (2,069/2,924) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	CLE	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	CLE -120
Apr 2nd	CLE	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8	SEA -105
Mar 31st	BOS	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	BOS -113
Mar 31st	BOS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -155
Mar 30th	BOS	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -155

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LL.Allen, P	93	6.2	6
RN.Sandlin, P	5	0.1	1
RC.Smith, P	16	1	1
LT.Herrin, P	20	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	3	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-3	2	1
2D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0
2D.Fry, 3B	0-1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	2-4	2	2
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	3
5W.Brennan, RF	2-5	0	2
6B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0
7G.Arias, 3B	0-4	0	0
7G.Arias, 2B	0-4	0	0
8E.Florial, CF	1-4	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	72	3.2	2	8
RA.Voth, P	20	2.1	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	18	2	1	0
RJ.Rojas, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-2	0	0	0
1L.Raley, RF	1-1	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Canzone, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Moore, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9S.Zavala, C	0-3	0	0	0