Guardians vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Guardians at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Cleveland Guardians

3-7

10 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

7-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.21	13-9
L.Allen			3.81	7-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 3-7	+1.5-200	o8.5-114	-105
Pirates 7-5	-1.5+175	u8.5-106	-112

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

July 18, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -113

1.13u

L.Allen o4.5 Ks-105

0.95u

M.Keller o17.5 Outs-130

$230.77

L.Allen o4.5 Ks+111

1.11u

Allen is back in the big leagues - he had 5+ Ks in 7/12 starts, with 63 Ks in 62.1 IP. In the minors, he’s been a 11+ K per 9 IP at every level. He gets the Pirates (without KeBryan Hayes) who are trotting out a ton of rookies lately. Over the L30 days vs lefties, the Pirates 30.1% K% is second highest, and their overall CSW% is 3rd highest in that span.

L.Allen o4.5 Ks+103

$50.47

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

Need -110

PIT -105 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -125

PIT -110

1.1u

PIT -105

0.53u

Bet to -110

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The Pirates are just 39-46 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Pirates are just 8-14 (.364) after a home loss this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Amed Rosario is batting just .217 on the road this season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .194 (36-for-186) against Mitch Keller at home this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Myles Straw is slugging just .303 this season -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Mitch Keller has allowed a SLG of just .292 vs right-handed batters this season -- second best among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (27/162) against Mitch Keller this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 17th	CLE	L 0-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CLE +110
Jul 16th	SF	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 10	SF +120
Jul 15th	SF	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SF +130
Jul 14th	SF	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	SF +108
Jul 9th	@ARI	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +132

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	77	5	8	0
RE.Morgan, P	15	1	1	1
RT.Stephan, P	18	1	1	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	17	1	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	2	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	1	0	1
2G.Arias, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
3T.Freeman, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-5	2	2	6
4D.Fry, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	3-5	1	0	0
6J.Bell, DH	2-5	2	1	2
7W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	102	6	1	8
LA.Perdomo, P	12	1	2	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	7	1	0	0
RY.Ramirez, P	20	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2B.Reynolds, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Davis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rodriguez, C	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0