Guardians vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2023

Guardians at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

6 - 10

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8
X.Curry			4.07	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-145	o8.5-122	+145
Twins 0-0	-1.5+120	u8.5+100	-175

Monday 11:40 p.m.

August 28, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -165

MIN -164

0.85u

Available at FanDuel. My model has the Twins' win odds at 68.4%, up from 62.1%. They're facing Xzavion Curry, who has had some rough underlying numbers as he has gotten stretched out. In nine outings with increased pitch counts, he's letting up a 46.7% hard-hit rate and 54.9% fly-ball rate. That's going up against a Twins offense that loves to strike out but still has a 112 wRC+ against righties. The Twins will start Kenta Maeda, who has a 3.26 SIERA since returning from the IL. Even with Cleveland's offense playing better now than it was earlier in the year, I still think the Twins deserve to be a bit shorter here.

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -102

Featured Insight
Twins Right Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against LHP since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB. GuardiansRPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters since last season -- seventh-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 4.1 runs per game over the last week -- fifth-lowest in MLB (138 games). The Twins have allowed just 4.1 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fifth-lowest in MLB (138 games).

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MLB NRFI Bet for Monday: Custom Combo of Greinke & Maeda
Shayne Trail•
Aug 28, 2023 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 27th	TEX	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +104
Aug 26th	TEX	L 2-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	TEX +105
Aug 26th	TEX	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -126
Aug 24th	TEX	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -120
Aug 23rd	@MIL	L 7-8	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +120

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RX.Curry, P	53	2	2	6
LD. Norris, P	48	2	1	4
RE.Morgan, P	28	1.1	4	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	27	1.2	3	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	1
2J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3K. Calhoun, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4R.Laureano, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
6W.Brennan, DH	0-3	0	0	1
7G.Arias, SS	2-4	2	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	1-4	1	1	2
9M.Straw, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	66	4	3	6
LK.Funderburk, P	28	2	3	0
RJ.Winder, P	24	3	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
1K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2R.Lewis, 3B	2-4	2	1	4
3M.Kepler, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Polanco, DH	2-4	2	1	3
6R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	1-3	2	1	1
8D.Solano, 1B	3-4	1	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0