Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Guardians at White Sox

11:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

1 - 3

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Clevinger			6.75	0-3
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5-111	o8-111	-180
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-109	u8-109	+150

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

CLE -1.5+100

0.5u

M.Clevinger u3.5 Ks-112

Projection leans towards the under here and +ev bet with devig odds of -149 giving value to the under

Over 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed an OPS of just .573 (615 PAs) this season -- second best in MLB. White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .601 this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Triston McKenzie has walked 16 of 97 batters (17%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (50/195) against Mike Clevinger since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	CLE	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	CWS -120
May 9th	CLE	W 3-2	-	-	-
May 8th	@TB	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS +217
May 7th	@TB	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +220
May 6th	@TB	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TB +138

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	91	6.2	5	1
RC.Smith, P	5	0.1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Florial, LF	0-2	0	0	0
1D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1D.Fry, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Clevinger, P	73	4.2	5	1
LT.Hill, P	15	1.1	1	0
LJ.Shuster, P	27	2	2	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, CF	1-3	0	0
1T.Pham, RF	1-3	0	0
2G.Sheets, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Ortega, CF	0-0	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-3	0	0
4B.Shewmake, PR	0-0	0	0
4B.Shewmake, DH	0-0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-3	0	1
6B.Ramos, 3B	0-4	0	0
7P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0
8N.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	1
9M.Maldonado, C	1-3	0	1