Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Mariners at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Seattle Mariners

0-0

3 - 5

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+154	o8.5-102	-104
Astros 0-2	u8.5	+1.5-184	u8.5-118	-115

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 04, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

Under 8.5-120

SEA -105

1.05u

G.Kirby u2.5 Earned Runs-115

1.04u

SEA +102

SEA -105 (F5)

R.Blanco o6.5 Ks+110

0.5u

J.Rodriguez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

0.85u

Payoff Pitch

Under 8.5-120

0.83u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-217-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-9-1,53% (ROI:2%)

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Featured Insight
Astros left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Astros are just 19-74 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Jorge Polanco has an OPS of just .326 with two strikes this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .300 (63 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Julio Rodriguez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9	HOU -141
May 2nd	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -185
May 1st	CLE	W 10-9	-1.5 L	O 9	HOU -170
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	88	6	3	1
RT.Thornton, P	16	0.1	0	2
LG.Speier, P	23	0.1	0	2
RC.Bolton, P	12	0.1	1	0
RT.Miller, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	3-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Urias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	94	6	6	3
RS.Martinez, P	5	1	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	17	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	22	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	1	1
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	1	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-3	0	1
5J.Pena, SS	0-3	1	1
6Y.Diaz, C	2-4	1	0
7J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0
8J.Loperfido, LF	2-2	0	0
8J.Meyers, PH	0-1	1	0
8J.Meyers, CF	0-1	1	0
9M.Dubon, CF	0-3	0	1
9M.Dubon, LF	0-3	0	1