Mariners vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Mariners at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN
6 - 1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Hunter Brown logoH.BrownHouston Astros logo3.4911-9
Bryce Miller logoB.MillerSeattle Mariners logo2.9512-8

Mariners at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-185
o7.5-116
+110
Astros
0-2
u7.5
-1.5+154
u7.5-105
-130
location pinTuesday 12:10 a.m.
September 24, 2024
Minute Maid ParkHouston
Mariners vs. Astros Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
55d ago
Last 30d: 66-72-2 (-12.6u)
Under 8-120
1u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
55d ago
Last 30d: 35-92-0 (-52.0u)
SEA +112
2.24u
🔑 Mariners ML +112 (FanDuel) 2u This is a great spot for Ms with Bryce Miller on the mound. Miller has been absolutely lights out, allowing 3 ER or less in 8 straight starts. QS in 3 straight and 4/L5. Their offense has come alive again, specifically Jrod. Astros playing down Yordan and the value is all over the Ms. Sharp money coming in strong on the Ms.
YBK Picks.com
55d ago
Last 30d: 56-49-1 (+9.4u)
SEA +110
2.2u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
55d ago
Last 30d: 98-112-1 (-22.2u)
Under 8-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Bryce Miller takes the mound for the Mariners on Monday, entering his 31st start of a remarkable 2024 campaign. His numbers are top-tier, boasting an 11-8 record, a 3.06 ERA (10th), and a 0.99 WHIP (5th). Miller’s recent form has been particularly strong, with a 1.00 ERA in his last three starts, including a dominant showing against the Yankees, where he allowed only one earned run over 6 innings. His ability to keep hitters in check has been consistent, as seen in his previous outing against the Astros, where he allowed just 2 earned runs over 6 innings. Houston’s lineup has struggled against him, slashing only .220/.273/.415 across 82 at-bats. Considering the playoff-like intensity expected in this series opener, Miller’s form, combined with the Astros' familiarity but lack of success against him, sets the stage for a low-scoring affair. On the other side, Hunter Brown has bounced back from a rough start to his season and will be making his 30th start. Brown comes into the matchup with an 11-8 record, a 3.57 ERA (26th), and a 1.28 WHIP. He has also been solid with strikeouts, ranking 25th in the league with 171. In his last outing, Brown threw six scoreless innings against the Mariners, showing that he has the capability to shut down Seattle’s offense. Brown has been reliable lately, allowing just two earned runs over 6 innings against the Padres in his most recent start, which resulted in a no-decision. Given that Seattle is hitting only .225 against right-handers this season, Brown is positioned to contain their offense once again. The offensive struggles of both teams against right-handed pitchers are another key factor supporting the under. Over their last ten games, the Astros have managed just a .220 average against right-handers, while the Mariners' season-long struggles against righties continue with a .225 average. Adding to this, the bullpens for both teams have been impressive, with Seattle sporting a 3.18 ERA and Houston close behind at 3.26. These solid relief corps should ensure that runs remain scarce even if either starter exits early.
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
55d ago
Last 30d: 35-32-0 (+0.9u)
HOU o3.5 Team Total-139
1.39u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
55d ago
Last 30d: 61-52-4 (+25.2u)
SEA +115
3.45u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
55d ago
Last 30d: 70-69-3 (+22.0u)
SEA +110
1.1u
Under 7.5-102
0.98u

PRO Insights

Mariners logo

Mariners

SEA Insights
  • Mariners logoMariners hitters have an OPS of .831 over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Astros RPs have allowed an OPS of .844 (92 PAs) over the last week -- second worst in MLB.
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Astros logo

Astros

HOU Insights
  • Astros logoAstros have a strikeout rate of 25% this season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 27% this season -- highest in MLB.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Mariners vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

5%

Bets%

95%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19
Mariners
74-8838-4336-4547-6226-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24
Mariners
76-76-1031-45-545-31-550-55-425-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22
Mariners
85-7749-3236-4562-4723-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 22ndLAAL 8-9-1.5 LO 8LAA -278
Sep 21stLAAW 10-4-1.5 WO 8HOU -234
Sep 21stLAAW 9-7-1.5 WO 8HOU -257
Sep 20thLAAW 3-1-1.5 WU 8HOU -290
Sep 18th@SDL 0-4-1.5 LU 6.5SD -108

Astros vs. Mariners Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Mariners Injuries

  • Sam Haggerty
    OF

    Haggerty is out with achilles

    Out

Mariners vs. Astros Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Bryce Miller logoRB.Miller, P97750
Troy Taylor logoRT. Taylor, P17101
Eduard Bazardo logoRE.Bazardo, P8100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Victor Robles logo1V.Robles, RF2-4200
Julio Rodriguez logo2J.Rodriguez, CF3-5102
Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, C2-5101
Randy Arozarena logo4R.Arozarena, LF2-5101
Luke Raley logo5L.Raley, 1B1-5000
Justin Turner logo6J.Turner, DH1-3101
Jorge Polanco logo7J.Polanco, 2B1-4001
J.P. Crawford logo8J.Crawford, SS1-4000
Josh Rojas logo9J.Rojas, 3B0-1000
Dylan Moore logo9D.Moore, PH0-1000
Dylan Moore logo9D.Moore, 3B0-1000
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Hunter Brown logoRH.Brown, P103681
Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P80.111
Kaleb Ort logoRK.Ort, P130.200
Bryan King logoLB.King, P180.202
Seth Martinez logoRS.Martinez, P121.102
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B1-4000
Kyle Tucker logo2K.Tucker, RF0-4000
Alex Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B0-3000
Yainer Diaz logo4Y.Diaz, C1-4000
Jon Singleton logo5J.Singleton, DH0-3000
Victor Caratini logo6V.Caratini, 1B0-4000
Jeremy Pena logo7J.Pena, SS1-3000
Jason Heyward logo8J.Heyward, LF1-3111
Jake Meyers logo9J.Meyers, CF0-3000

Mariners vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Mariners at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mariners
0-0
o3.5-115
u3.5-115
Astros
0-2
o3.5-135
u3.5+105