Mariners vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Mariners at Yankees

11:05 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Seattle Mariners

0-0

6 - 3

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5
B.Woo			2.89	9-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 0-0	+1.5-162	o8.5-113	+136
Yankees 8-6	u0.5	-1.5+136	u8.5-107	-162

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 8-114

1.14u

C.Schmidt o6.5 Ks-120

0.6u

NYY -1.5+130

NYY -161

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

-110 DK

B.Woo u4.5 Hits Allowed-105

0.95u

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -139

SEA +140

1.4u

SEA +142

1.42u

Featured Insight
The Mariners have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in late innings since last season -- lowest in MLB (209 games). The Yankees have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (210 games).

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Featured Insight
The Yankees have scored 6.5 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games). The Mariners have allowed 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for second highest in MLB (7 games).

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The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Yankees are 69-39 (.639) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Mariners are 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Mariners are 30-4 (.882) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Aaron Judge has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 11th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Trent Grisham struck out in 29% of PA's in the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Andres Munoz had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.6 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Clarke Schmidt has struck out 34% (34/101) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 96th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched -- Ryan Yarbrough has the longest active streak at 18.1.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	SEA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	SEA -142
May 19th	CWS	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -317
May 18th	CWS	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -292
May 17th	CWS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -284
May 16th	@MIN	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +100

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Woo, P	77	6	7	0
LG.Speier, P	17	0.1	1	2
RT.Thornton, P	13	0.2	0	1
RR.Stanek, P	16	1	0	0
RA.Munoz, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Raley, LF	1-5	1	1	1
4C.Raleigh, C	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Canzone, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Haniger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Haniger, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
7M.Garver, DH	2-4	1	0	0
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9D.Moore, 2B	3-4	2	2	4

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	100	5	6	2
LV.Gonzalez, P	16	1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	17	1	0	2
LC.Andrews, P	15	0.1	1	1
RN.Burdi, P	21	0.2	1	1
LC.Ferguson, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Rizzo, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
6A.Wells, C	1-2	0	0	0
6G.Stanton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Trevino, C	1-1	0	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	1-3	1	1	3
8O.Cabrera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	0	0