Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2023

Marlins at Cardinals

6:15 pm • BSMW

Miami Marlins

3-6

4 - 6

St. Louis Cardinals

5-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Hudson			4.98	6-3
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 3-6	-1.5+150	o8.5-115	-110
Cardinals 5-7	+1.5-178	u8.5-105	-110

Wednesday 6:15 p.m.

July 19, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

MIA -104

1.04u

MIA -110

1.1u

#Fish time baby

S.Alcantara u5.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Projecting closer to -185

S.Alcantara u5.5 Ks-120

MIA +100

0.5u

Bet to -105

MIA -108 (F5)

0.54u

Bet to -110

STL -115

S.Alcantara u5.5 Ks-108

1.08u

Under in 12/19 this season, incl 6/9 at home. STL running a 20.3% K% vs righties over the L30 days (7th lowest). And in home day games this season, their 18.7 K% is the 3rd lowest in baseball. Even with a lineup that’s likely to include Knizer, STL is crushing righties right now - .812 OPS and 125 wRC+ over the L30 are both top 3.

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 19, 2023 UTC
Wednesday NRFI Bet: Custom Pick for Alcantara, Bello
Shayne Trail•
Jul 19, 2023 UTC

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The Cardinals are 10-6 (.625) after a win as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .441.

Paul Goldschmidt is batting .315 on non-fastballs this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .287 (60-for-209) against Sandy Alcantara non-fastballs this season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

33% of Paul Goldschmidt strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 38% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (123/209) against Dakota Hudson since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (11/100) against Dakota Hudson on low breaking pitches since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 18th	MIA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -170
Jul 17th	MIA	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -105
Jul 16th	WSH	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	STL -177
Jul 15th	WSH	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9	STL -190
Jul 15th	WSH	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 3.5	WSH +160

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	103	6	7	4
RH.Brazoban, P	20	1	0	2
RB.Hoeing, P	5	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	0	0	1
2J.Soler, DH	1-5	1	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	2
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Berti, 3B	3-4	0	0	0
7J.Wendle, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Cooper, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, SS	1-1	1	0	0
8D.Myers, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	66	3	1	2
LZ.Thompson, P	27	2	0	0
RA.Pallante, P	23	1.2	1	0
RR. Tepera, P	20	1.1	1	1
RC.Stratton, P	30	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, LF	1-3	2	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
5N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	1	1	4
6I.Herrera, C	1-2	0	0	0
7A.Burleson, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, CF	0-4	0	0	0