Marlins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2024

Marlins at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

8-12

6 - 3

Washington Nationals

8-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Parker			4.29	7-10
D.McCaughan			9.00	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 8-12	+1.5	+1.5-123	o9-108	+160
Nationals 8-12	u9	-1.5+103	u9-112	-191

Thursday 10:45 p.m.

September 12, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH o4.5 Team Total-125

1.25u

Under 8.5+105

.tsa low strikeout pitchers with wind helping Overall: 154-79-18,66% (ROI:27%) Season:22-17-1,56% (ROI:10%)

Featured Insight
The Marlins are batting .297 with RISP over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .375 (15-for-40) against Nationals RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals right-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against LHP this season -- lowest in MLB. Marlins have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 12, 2024 UTC

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The Marlins are just 63-86 (.423) on the road since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Nationals are just 17-63 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

Jacob Young is slugging just .289 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Michael Baumann has thrown a breaking pitch 58% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jesus Sanchez has a swing rate of 46% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .408 (29-for-71) against Mitchell Parker on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (41/287) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Darren McCaughan has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .302 -- third Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season -- tied for 7th most among pitchers in MLB -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Darren McCaughan when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .234 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 4-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Nationals' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	10-9	6-3	4-6	1-1	9-8
Marlins	8-11	6-7	2-4	0-2	8-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	11-8	7-2	4-6	2-0	9-8
Marlins	12-7	9-4	3-3	1-1	11-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	7-12	5-4	2-8	1-1	6-11
Marlins	8-11	6-7	2-4	2-0	6-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +142
Sep 10th	ATL	L 0-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL +120
Sep 8th	@PIT	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT +132
Sep 7th	@PIT	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +124
Sep 7th	@PIT	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH +110

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.McCaughan, P	84	5	1	3
LA.Veneziano, P	26	1.2	3	0
RA.Bender, P	4	0.1	1	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	22	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Norby, 3B	0-3	1	2
2J.Bride, DH	1-4	1	2
3J.Burger, 1B	3-4	0	0
4O.Lopez, SS	0-4	0	1
4O.Lopez, 2B	0-4	0	1
5C.Pache, CF	0-4	0	0
6K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0
7D.Hensley, RF	1-3	0	0
7G.Conine, RF	1-1	1	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-2	1	0
9J.Sanoja, 2B	0-2	1	0
9X.Edwards, PH	2-2	1	0
9X.Edwards, SS	2-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	76	6.1	5	0
RD.Law, P	15	1	0	2
LR.Garcia, P	6	0.2	1	0
LJ.La Sorsa, P	5	0.1	0	1
RT.Rainey, P	11	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-3	1	0
2D.Crews, RF	2-4	1	1
3J.Wood, LF	0-3	1	0
4A.Chaparro, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Tena, 3B	1-4	0	2
6K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
7L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	0	0