Mets vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Mets at Braves

11:20 pm • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

5 - 6

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
A.Houser			5.84	1-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-130	o9.5-111	+156
Braves 0-2	-1.5+110	u9.5-108	-186

Tuesday 11:20 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 9.5-115

1.15u

NYM +162

... low scoring div dogs away early season Overall: 324-327-0,50% (ROI:14%) Season:2-3-0,40% (ROI:0%)

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Only bet from me today. Tailing everyone else at Action on sides/props. BOL & feel free to fade since I have been booty cheeks <3

Under 10-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 9.5 (-101)

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Featured Insight
Braves had won 64% of their games last season -- best in MLB. Mets won just 46% of their games last season -- eighth worst.

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The Mets are just 15-27 (.357) after a road loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Braves are 26-32 (.448) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Mets are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Braves are 26-17 (.605) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .384.

Matt Olson slugged .557 on breaking pitches last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Brooks Raley threw his curveball 35% of the time last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 87th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna had an OPS of .905 last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Jorge Lopez allowed an OPS of .877 (266 PAs) last season -- sixth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 25 of 139 left-handed batters (18%) since last season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- first Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (412/560) with two-strikes since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season -- 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	NYM	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 10	NYM -231
Apr 7th	ARI	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -250
Apr 6th	ARI	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9	ATL -205
Apr 5th	ARI	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	ATL -310
Apr 2nd	@CWS	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CWS -185

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	95	5	1	5
RD.Nunez, P	31	2	3	1
RC.Sulser, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-5	0	0	1
3F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	1	1	3
5B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Stewart, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, PH	1-2	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	2-3	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	94	6	6	0
LA.Bummer, P	19	1	0	0
LT.Matzek, P	19	0.2	1	3
RJ.Jimenez, P	9	0.1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-3	3	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	2
3A.Riley, 3B	2-3	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	1
6M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	0