Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Mets at Marlins

5:40 pm • WPIX

New York Mets

8-9

7 - 3

Miami Marlins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Sanchez			6.06	0-3
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	-1.5+117	o8.5-116	-142
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-139	u8.5-103	+120

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 19, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 11.5 (Live)-120

0.46u

Over 8.5-118

0.85u

… windy overs Overall: 650-474-53,58% (ROI:11%) Season:8-4-1,67% (ROI:26%)

NYM -141

0.71u

MIA +122

Mets not at full strength.

Under 8.5-115

$1150.00

MIA o3.5-105

1.58u

Under 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Under 4.5 (F5)+103

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .321 this season -- fourth best in MLB. Marlins hitters are slugging just .294 versus relief pitchers this season -- worst in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brett Baty has an OPS of just .602 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 547 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .507 (651 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 12 of 72 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (25/196) against Sixto Sanchez this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 12 of 72 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	NYM	W 10-9	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +105
May 17th	NYM	W 8-0	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +105
May 15th	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +140
May 14th	@DET	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +154
May 13th	@DET	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	DET +141

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	95	5	4	2
RS.Reid-Foley, P	23	1	2	0
LJ.Diekman, P	14	1	1	1
RR.Garrett, P	34	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	2	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, DH	1-4	2	1	2
4D.Stewart, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4S.Marte, PH	0-1	1	0	0
4S.Marte, RF	0-1	1	0	0
5T.Taylor, LF	2-5	1	0	2
6B.Baty, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	2-4	0	0	2
9O.Narvaez, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Sanchez, P	85	4	2	4
LA.Nardi, P	15	1	2	0
RB.Smith, P	17	1.1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	25	1.1	1	0
RA.Bender, P	22	1.1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Rivera, 3B	1-1	1	0	0
5N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Gordon, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
6O.Lopez, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
7D.Myers, RF	1-4	1	1	2
8V.Brujan, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-3	1	1	1
9J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0