Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2024

Mets at Marlins

11:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

6-4

0 - 8

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6
C.Scott			4.56	0-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 6-4	-1.5+136	o7.5-105	-125
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-162	u7.5-115	+105

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 17, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

J.Luzardo o5.5 Ks-116

0.86u

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -153

MIA +105

1.05u

MIA +105 (F5)

1.58u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.5u

NYM -117 (F5)

0.59u

NYM -120 (F5)

0.6u

Bet to -123

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .317 this season -- tied for third best in MLB. Marlins hitters are slugging just .288 versus relief pitchers this season -- worst in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Marlins are just 41-54 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .542 (391 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

The last hit on a Christian Scott slider was May 4th. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his slider. -- JoJo Romero has the longest active streak at 29.

The last hit on a Christian Scott breaking pitch was May 4th. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. -- Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 41.

Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 42% (16 SO in 38 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +140
May 14th	@DET	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +154
May 13th	@DET	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	DET +141
May 12th	PHI	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7	MIA +170
May 11th	PHI	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +103

Sixto Sanchez
P
Sanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with wrist
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Scott, P	84	4	3	4
LJ.Walker, P	40	2	2	2
RG.Hartwig, P	39	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Taylor, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	2-3	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Baty, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Luzardo, P	89	6	7
RA.Bender, P	12	1	1
RB.Smith, P	12	1	0
RA.Maldonado, P	14	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-3	0	0	1
3J.Bell, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
3E.Rivera, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
5T.Gray, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7O.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	1
8V.Brujan, SS	2-3	2	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	3-3	3	1	3