Mets vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 5, 2023

Mets at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

New York Mets

7-6

3 - 7

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9
T.Megill			4.70	9-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-130	o9.5-105	+144
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+110	u9.5-115	-175

Saturday 11:05 p.m.

August 05, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+120

1.2u

Over 9.5-108

NYM +154

0.5u

Bet to +143

Featured Insight
Orioles Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB (147 games). The Orioles have allowed just 0.8 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- lowest in MLB (176 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday Night MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 5, 2023 UTC

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The Orioles are 50-39 (.562) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Starling Marte has an OPS of just .632 this season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Felix Bautista has allowed an OPS of just .419 (199 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Pete Alonso is slugging .567 on breaking pitches this season -- 14th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Danny Coulombe has thrown a breaking pitch 74% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 75% (15/20) against Kyle Gibson -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 4th	NYM	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BAL -148
Aug 3rd	@TOR	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL +150
Aug 2nd	@TOR	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR +112
Aug 1st	@TOR	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -105
Jul 31st	@TOR	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	BAL +120

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	102	4.2	3	5
RG.Hartwig, P	39	2.1	1	1
RP.Bickford, P	27	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	1	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0	0
3J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3J.McNeil, LF	2-4	1	1	3
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Stewart, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Mendick, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Mendick, 2B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	98	7	9	3
LD.Coulombe, P	14	1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	2-5	1	0	1
2G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Santander, DH	2-5	2	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, RF	2-4	0	0	1
4J.Mateo, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7C.Cowser, LF	1-3	2	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
9R.McKenna, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9R.McKenna, RF	1-4	0	0	1