Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 31, 2023

Orioles at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • MLB Network

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

4 - 2

Toronto Blue Jays

6-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			3.60	16-8
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 5-4	+1.5-175	o9+100	+120
Blue Jays 6-4	-1.5+145	u9-120	-142

Monday 11:07 p.m.

July 31, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR -135

$135.00

TOR -143

1.43u

TOR -135

1.35u

TOR -140 (F5)

1.4u

TOR -132

1.32u

C.Bassitt o17.5 Outs-130

0.77u

TOR -130

0.65u

Bet to -135

TOR -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -136

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have scored 2.5 runs per game while trailing over the last two weeks -- second-highest in MLB (78 games). The Orioles have allowed 2.3 runs per game while leading over the last two weeks -- tied for sixth-highest in MLB (89 games).

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less over the last week -- tied for fourth-best in MLB. Orioles have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less over the last week -- second-worst in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are 23-10 (.697) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .558.

The Blue Jays are 151-115 (.568) since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

79% of non-fastball strikeouts for Bo Bichette are located out of the zone since last season -- second highest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 77% of Kyle Gibson non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Anthony Santander is slugging .508 on non-fastballs this season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Chris Bassitt has allowed a SLG of .467 non-fastballs this season -- tied for eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .290 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)-- 100th Percentile and .538 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)-- third Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .495 (52 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 -- third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .190 (12-for-63) against Kyle Gibson on low fastballs this season -- 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 -- 87th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 30th	LAA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -196
Jul 29th	LAA	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9.5	TOR -120
Jul 28th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -207
Jul 26th	@LAD	W 8-1	+1.5 W	U 10	TOR +112
Jul 26th	@LAD	L 7-8	+1.5 W	O 9	LAD +125

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	97	6	5	1
LD.Coulombe, P	20	1	2	0
RY.Cano, P	18	0.1	0	1
RF.Bautista, P	35	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	0-5	0	0	0
2G.Henderson, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-3	2	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, DH	2-3	0	0	3
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	113	6	7	4
RN.Pearson, P	27	1	2	0
RB.Francis, P	24	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Merrifield, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
2B.Bichette, SS	2-2	0	0	0
2S.Espinal, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3B. Belt, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4V.Guerrero, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Chapman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Varsho, LF	1-3	1	0	0
7A.Kirk, C	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Biggio, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8J. Luplow, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J. Luplow, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Jansen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	1