Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2024

Mets at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

New York Mets

7-6

11 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-161	o8.5-109	+132
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+135	u8.5-105	-156

Friday 10:40 p.m.

September 13, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

NYM +135

4.05u

PHI -160

PHI -1.5+120

Under 8.5-105

Featured Insight
Mets right-handed hitters have struck out just 5% against LHP over the last week -- second lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 10-131 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Francisco Lindor has 31 home runs this season -- tied for 11th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Aaron Nola has allowed 26 home runs this season -- tied for seventh most among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 48% (418/861) when ahead in the count this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% -- first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (400/710) in two strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	TB	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	PHI -230
Sep 10th	TB	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -185
Sep 9th	TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Sep 8th	@MIA	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -135
Sep 7th	@MIA	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -262

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	94	7	4	0
RP.Maton, P	12	1	1	0
LA.Young, P	36	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0	1
1E.Alvarez, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Winker, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
6J.Iglesias, SS	2-5	2	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	1-5	1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	2-4	2	1	3
9H.Bader, CF	2-4	2	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	90	4.1	7	6
RJ.Ruiz, P	16	0.2	1	0
RM.Lazar, P	44	2.2	1	3
LT.Gilbert, P	9	0.1	0	1
RK.Clemens, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2C.Stevenson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4B.Marsh, RF	1-1	1	1	3
5J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Garcia, C	0-1	0	0	0
6W.Wilson, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Wilson, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Stott, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Kennedy, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	0