Mets vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Mets at Rays

10:50 pm • SNY

New York Mets

8-9

8 - 10

Tampa Bay Rays

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.07	2-6
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	+1.5-170	o8-111	+124
Rays 7-8	-1.5+142	u8-109	-148

Friday 10:50 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

NYM +130

TB -160 (F5)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

A.Civale u5.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Rays right-handed hitters have struck out 37% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games last season -- highest in MLB. The Mets allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Rays are 90-22 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Amed Rosario has an OPS of just .692 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jake Diekman has allowed an OPS of just .551 (285 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

66% of Francisco Lindor fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Aaron Civale has located his fastball up 60% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2022 season is 385.2 feet -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 398.4

71% of Aaron Civale's non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season -- tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% -- 91st Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 16% (23 SO in 144 PAs) this season -- tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@MIL	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -111
Apr 30th	@MIL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +152
Apr 29th	@MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -109
Apr 28th	@CWS	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -141
Apr 27th	@CWS	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -199

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	65	2.2	2	8
RD.Nunez, P	30	2.1	3	1
RJ.Lopez, P	23	1	0	1
LD.Young, P	37	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	1
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	2-4	2	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	3-4	2	2	4
9T.Nido, C	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	77	4.2	5	7
RS.Armstrong, P	18	1.1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	19	1	1	0
RK.Kelly, P	11	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	0	0	2
2I.Paredes, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3H.Ramirez, RF	3-5	1	0	0
3R.Palacios, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-2	2	1	1
5A.Rosario, 2B	3-5	2	0	2
6J.Caballero, SS	2-3	2	0	0
7A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	1
8J.DeLuca, CF	1-4	1	0	3
9C.Mead, 3B	1-4	1	0	1