Rays vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Rays at Brewers

5:10 pm • BSWI

Tampa Bay Rays

7-8

1 - 7

Milwaukee Brewers

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 7-8	-1.5+150	o8.5-102	-111
Brewers 8-9	+1.5-180	u8.5-118	-108

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

TB -128 (F5)

0.55u

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-110

0.55u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

TB -122 (F5)

1.22u

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-110

@The_Oddsmaker

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Over 8-105

1.05u

Under 8-115

1.15u

TB -120 (F5)

F5 system

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-102

0.51u

Under 8.5-113

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-106)

Featured Insight
Rays have a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Brewers left-handed hitters have struck out 30% against RHP over the last week -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Rays have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Rays are 31-22 (.585) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 29-2 (.935) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

William Contreras has a miss rate of 26% on fastballs down since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Zach Eflin has located his fastball down 46% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 333 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (20/48) -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	TB	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -182
Apr 29th	TB	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8	TB -111
Apr 28th	NYY	L 5-15	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY +114
Apr 27th	NYY	L 3-15	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY -102
Apr 27th	NYY	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +120

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	88	5.2	6	3
LG.Cleavinger, P	12	0.1	1	0
RE.Ramirez, P	43	2	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1Y.Diaz, DH	0-5	0
2R.Palacios, RF	2-3	1
3R.Arozarena, CF	0-3	0
4A.Rosario, 2B	0-4	0
5A.Shenton, 1B	0-2	0
6N.Goodrum, LF	0-4	0
7J.Caballero, SS	2-4	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	1-4	0
9C.Mead, 3B	0-4	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	99	6	5	0
LB.Hudson, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Uribe, P	25	1	0	1
RT.Vieira, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-3	1	0	2
3W.Adames, SS	2-4	2	2	4
4T.Black, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Wiemer, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Hoskins, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
8O.Dunn, 3B	2-3	2	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	2-4	1	0	1