Mets vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Mets at Tigers

5:40 pm • BSDET

New York Mets

7-6

5 - 6

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Wentz			6.90	3-13
J.Lucchesi			2.89	4-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5-102	o9-115	-162
Tigers 4-3	+1.5-118	u9-105	+136

Wednesday 5:40 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -115 (F5)

Live

S.Marte o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.5u

Crushes LHP: .302/.366/.511 with 15 XBH in 42 hits last season This year, .270/.325/.324 but way better than vs RHP amid slow start

NYM -1-130

2.6u

DET +140

0.56u

J.Baez o0.5 HR+550

0.55u

J.Baez o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.58u

Baez has not been good this season but a solid buy-low opportunity against a LHP he’s had a ton of success against. Career vs Joey L: 5-for-7, 2 2Bs, 2 HRs Last year vs LHP: .301/.326/.507

J.Lucchesi o4.5 Ks-110

J.Lucchesi o4.5 Ks-124

0.62u

Tigers above 30% K Rate against left handed pitching

Over 9-120

$25.00

DET +135 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +130. Game 1

DET +138

0.69u

Game 1. Bet to +135

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
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The Mets are 10-7 (.588) on the road this season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Tigers are just 3-101 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 58% (263/451) with runners in scoring position since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (7/30) against Max Scherzer this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- third Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .232 (233 PA's) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .323 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Joey Wentz's changeup this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .241 -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	BAL	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +125
Apr 29th	BAL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL +132
Apr 29th	BAL	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	DET -110
Apr 27th	BAL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8	BAL +130
Apr 26th	@MIL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8	MIL +180

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Lucchesi, P	46	4	1	4
RJ. Yacabonis, P	36	3	3	0
RA.Ottavino, P	24	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Pham, LF	3-4	1	1	1
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Canha, DH	1-3	1	1	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Vogelbach, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wentz, P	83	6	2	5
RW.Vest, P	23	1.2	2	0
LT.Alexander, P	1	0.1	0	0
RA.Lange, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Baez, SS	2-3	3	1	1
3R.Greene, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4E.Haase, DH	2-4	1	1	5
5S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Schoop, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Ibanez, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Maton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Maton, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Maton, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Baddoo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Baddoo, LF	0-1	0	0	0