Twins vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2023

Twins at Reds

10:40 pm • Fox Sports 1

Minnesota Twins

0-0

3 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Phillips			6.97	1-1
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+105	o9.5-105	-157
Reds 0-0	+1.5-120	u9.5-115	+130

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

MIN -145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to -160

Twins vs. Reds: Fade This Rookie Pitcher
Kenny Ducey•
Sep 18, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Jonathan India has a miss rate of only 14% on elevated fastballs this season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joe Ryan has located his fastball up 65% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@NYM	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +115
Sep 16th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -104
Sep 15th	@NYM	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Sep 14th	@DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +105
Sep 13th	@DET	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +115

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P		84	5	5	4
LD.Keuchel, P		58	3	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5K.Farmer, PH	1-4	0	0	1
5K.Farmer, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
7M.Wallner, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Phillips, P	93	7	7	2
RD.Law, P	7	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	3-4	1	0	1
4J.Fraley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Senzel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4N.Senzel, DH	1-1	1	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-3	1	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
7E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	1	3