Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Nationals at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Washington Nationals

10-9

7 - 2

Atlanta Braves

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
M.Gore			3.90	10-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 10-9	+1.5-162	o8.5-105	+126
Braves 8-9	-1.5+136	u8.5-115	-150

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

May 29, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

M.Gore u6.5 Ks-134

1.34u

WSH +136

$68.00

M.Gore o15.5 Outs-105

He’s over in 6/10 starts including 3/L3. Actually has pitched well against the current Braves roster (they are 7/44 against him - it was Acuna he struggled with), and the Braves are just not hitting right now: 100 wRC+ and .700 OPS vs lefties over the L30 days. Gore can be a bit wild, but the Braves swing a ton, with the 7th highest chase rate and third highest swing rate overall.

ATL -150

0.75u

Superbook. Bet to -155

WSH +134

1.34u

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Featured Insight
The Braves are batting .246 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .252 (1,353-for-5,368) against Nationals RPs since the 2022 season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .876 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

37% of Austin Riley strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 48% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (122/226) this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (41/112) against MacKenzie Gore this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	WSH	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -252
May 27th	WSH	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	WSH -210
May 26th	@PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -238
May 25th	@PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -154
May 24th	@PIT	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 9	PIT -180

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	97	5.1	10	1
RD.Floro, P	8	0.2	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	12	0.2	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	21	1.1	3	0
RJ.Weems, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	3-4	2	1	3
3J.Winker, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	2-5	0	0	2
6E.Rosario, LF	2-5	1	0	0
7N.Senzel, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, PR	1-3	1	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	88	5	5	3
LA.Bummer, P	23	1	1	2
LA.Minter, P	26	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	11	1	0	0
RP.Johnson, P	25	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	1
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	0	0