Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024
Nationals at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.68 | 3-5 | |
 |  | 5.62 | 6-13 |
Nationals at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals 8-12 | -1.5+160 | o8-118 | -105 | |
Marlins 8-12 | +1.5-192 | u8-102 | -115 | |
loanDepot parkMiami
Nationals vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Burger o1.5 Total Bases-110
1.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 398-557-16 (+4.1u)
Under 8.5-125
0.8u
.tsa low strikeout pitchers with wind helping
Overall: 152-78-18,66% (ROI:27%)
Season:20-16-1,56% (ROI:8%)
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 110-110-1 (+1.9u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-110
1.5u
Both of these bats have been showing up in the L15 days, ranking top 11 in BA.
WSH will be facing M. Mayer who has struggled with a 7.12 ERA & allowing 3+ runs in every start in Aug. His splits also aren’t great allowing a .259 BA home, .272 BA at night, & equally as bad vs both sides of the plate (.263 vs L’s & .267 vs R’s).
MIA will see P. Corbin who has pulled it together in his L3 games, but still not consistent enough for me to rely on. His splits are also terrible allowing a .351 BA away, .308 BA at night, & a .317 BA vs R’s which is huge here because MIA will have 7 R’s in their lineup tonight.
Both bullpens are healthy so I’m isolating this to F5.
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
P.Corbin o0.5 Outs-104
1u
NOT A REAL BET!
My Cole/Musgrove bet from yesterday didn’t go through on here, so adding this.
Also, lol Corbin.
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 124-82-2 (+67.9u)
WSH -105
0.95u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 100-105-4 (-21.5u)
Over 8-106
1u
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 186-194-2 (-6.8u)
J.Tena o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 62-58-7 (-1.5u)
P.Corbin u17.5 Outs-114
1u
@rsura_
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 83-105-6 (-8.5u)
P.Corbin u17.5 Outs-114
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 62-58-7 (-1.5u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-110
1u
@sandyplashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 108-121-15 (-3.6u)
Over 4.5 (F5)-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 87-91-1 (-18.7u)
MIA -114
3u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 35-49-2 (-13.2u)
M.Meyer u4.5 Ks-105
1u
DK
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 172-174-19 (+1.0u)
Under 8.5+100
0.5u
Bet to -115
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 141-155-5 (+19.4u)
WSH -105
0.95u
PRO Insights
Nationals
WSH Insights
- Featured InsightNationals have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 24% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Nationals vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Nationals are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
Jake Burger has 32 home runs on fastballs since last season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Kyle Finnegan has allowed 13 home runs on fastballs since last season -- tied for fifth most among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .826 (782 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 -- fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .299 (174-for-581) against Patrick Corbin this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nationals vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Marlins' 13 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Nationals Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Braxton GarrettP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Ryan WeathersP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Nationals Injuries
- Michael SorokaP
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
- Paul DeJongIF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
- Josiah GrayP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
- Andres ChaparroIF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
- Cade CavalliP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
- DJ HerzP
Herz is out with elbow
Out
Nationals vs. Marlins Box Score
Nationals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 93 | 5.2 | 8 | 2 | |
 | 18 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 94 | 5.2 | 5 | 5 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Nationals at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nationals 8-12 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |
Marlins 8-12 | o3.5-140 | u3.5+110 |