Nationals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2023

Nationals at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Washington Nationals

8-8

8 - 9

New York Mets

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Lucchesi			2.89	4-0
T.Williams			5.55	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-115	o8.5+100	+198
Mets 7-8	-1.5-105	u8.5-120	-240

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

April 27, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

J.Lucchesi u5.5 Ks-130

But of an overrreaction to his first start vs SF, which featured plenty of plus K spots for the lefty. Now he gets WAS, who have an absurdly low 15% K% vs LHP, and 6/7 starters have stayed under (McClanahan had 6).

Over 8.5-104

0.96u

Over 8.5-105

WSH +197

0.5u

WSH +195

0.5u

Need +195 or better

The Mets are just 4-60 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Nationals are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.

The Mets are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Nationals are just 1-3 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Jeff McNeil has struck out in just 9% of PA's this season -- fifth lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 9% vs left-handed batters this season -- third lowest among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP-- third Percentile.

Jeff McNeil has struck out in just 6% of PA's over the last two weeks -- sixth lowest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 4% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (11/83) against Trevor Williams this season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- third Percentile.

Joey Lucchesi has pitched 17.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run -- Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.1.

Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (156/245) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	WSH	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -220
Apr 25th	WSH	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -210
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	SF -127
Apr 22nd	@SF	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SF +108
Apr 22nd	@SF	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +102

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	95	5	4	4
RE.Ramirez, P	22	1	0	3
RH. Harris, P	11	1	0	0
RM.Thompson, P	15	0.1	0	2
RK.Finnegan, P	5	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Call, LF	2-4	1	1	1
2J.Candelario, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Meneses, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	0	0
5L.Thomas, RF	1-3	2	0	0
6S.Garrett, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7M. Chavis, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Garcia, PH	1-1	0	0	2
7L.Garcia, 2B	1-1	0	0	2
8V.Robles, CF	0-3	1	0	1
9C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	1	4

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Lucchesi, P	90	5.1	3	3
RT. Hunter, P	31	1.2	2	2
LB.Raley, P	15	1	0	2
RD.Robertson, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	2-5	2	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	0	3
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-5	2	0	2
5J.McNeil, 2B	2-5	1	0	1
6D.Vogelbach, DH	2-5	0	0	1
7M.Canha, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Baty, 3B	3-3	1	1	1
8L.Guillorme, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-0	0	0	0