Nationals vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2023

Nationals at Phillies

5:35 pm • NBCS-PH

Washington Nationals

8-5

5 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

4-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Suarez			4.18	4-6
T.Williams			5.55	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 8-5	+1.5+110	o9-115	+220
Phillies 4-8	-1.5-135	u9-105	-275

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 02, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

WSH u3.5-110

1.1u

R.Suarez u5.5 Ks-124

Tough fade coming off 4 straight 7+ K games, but this is a tough and familiar matchup. Suarez has 6 Ks in 60 PAs against the 8 Nats he’s faced (all but Derek Hill, who is historically a tougher to K matchup for lefties). Not seeing much in the way of any changes he’s made lately, so I’ll rely more on matchup/historical performances vs WSH rather than recent performance.

PHI -1.5-125

1.25u

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PHI o5.5-115

Fading Crook, dude’s a bozo virgin

R.Suarez o17.5 Outs-145

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-126

0.79u

.302 BA at home, .629 SLG vs fastballs

T.Williams u15.5 Outs-123

Williams gets two of his worse splits: 4.65 ERA on the road, and under this line in 5/L6. And he’ll probably see 5-6 lefties today (.299 BAA, .836 OPS). Fantastic hitting conditions today, with a chance of an in game delay. WSH’s bullpen in decent enough shape, despite yesterday’s romp. Castellanos, Schwarber, Trea all great numbers vs Trevor - which gives me hope they will pull him before facing the top of the lineup the 3rd time through.

PHI u5.5-125

Over 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 9.5 (-108)

Under 9+100

0.5u

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 1st	WSH	W 19-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI -215
Jun 30th	WSH	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -193
Jun 30th	@CHC	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9.5	PHI -115
Jun 29th	@CHC	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI -140
Jun 28th	@CHC	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -135

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	80	5	1	3
LJ.Ferrer, P	13	1	1	0
RM.Thompson, P	10	0.1	1	1
RK.Finnegan, P	22	1.2	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
3J.Meneses, DH	1-3	1	0	0
4S.Garrett, LF	2-4	1	1	4
5D.Smith, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6I.Vargas, SS	1-3	0	0	0
7M. Chavis, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	0-4	0	0	0
9D.Hill, CF	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	93	5.1	5	5
RY.Marte, P	12	1.2	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	1	1	2
4B.Harper, DH	2-2	1	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	1	2
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Hall, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	2-4	0	0	0