Nationals vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2023

Nationals at Pirates

10:35 pm • SportsNet PT

Washington Nationals

5-4

1 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

6-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.58	2-2
J.Adon			6.45	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 5-4	+1.5-163	o9-115	+124
Pirates 6-4	-1.5+133	u9-105	-149

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

September 12, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

WSH +130

Bet365 6:29.

Featured Insight
Pirates Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against LHP over the last two weeks -- fifth-lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for second-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have won just 39% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third-worst in MLB. Pirates have won 55% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- sixth-best in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 36-65 (.356) after a win as underdogs since last season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Luis Garcia is batting .303 on breaking pitches this season -- fifth best among hitters with at least 214 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Jose Hernandez has thrown his slider 55% of the time this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bryan Reynolds has 31 home runs on fastballs since last season -- tied for 12th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Jordan Weems has allowed 13 home runs on fastballs since last season -- tied for fourth most among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Justin Verlander allowed an OBP of just .227 (665 PA's) in 2022 -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (169 Total Bases / 625 ABs) in 2022 -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	WSH	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -149
Sep 10th	@ATL	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 10	ATL +215
Sep 9th	@ATL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PIT +177
Sep 8th	@ATL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +169
Sep 6th	MIL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +160

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Adon, P	93	4	4	4
LR.Garcia, P	23	1	1	0
RA.Willingham, P	29	2	0	1
RA. Machado, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0
3K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	0
4J.Meneses, DH	2-4	0	0
5I.Vargas, 2B	2-4	0	1
5I.Vargas, 3B	2-4	0	1
6C. Kieboom, 3B	0-2	0	0
6L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0
6L.Garcia, 2B	0-1	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	1-2	0	0
8A.Call, LF	0-2	0	0
8J. Alu, PH	0-1	0	0
8J. Alu, LF	0-1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	67	6	4	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	17	1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	14	1	0	0
LR.Borucki, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-3	0	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	0	0	1
4J.Suwinski, CF	2-3	0	0	0
5C.Joe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rivas, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	2-4	2	0	0
7J.Palacios, RF	2-4	1	1	2
8M.Andujar, DH	1-4	1	0	1
9A.Williams, SS	1-2	1	0	0