Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2023

Orioles at Diamondbacks

8:10 pm • ARID

Baltimore Orioles

8-8

8 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

9-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9
J.Flaherty			6.75	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 8-8	+1.5-175	o8.5-105	+120
Diamondbacks 9-10	-1.5+145	u8.5-115	-142

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

September 03, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

Z.Gallen o17.5 Outs-130

Z.Gallen o5.5 Ks+112

Gallen is 13/15 on this line at home this season (31% K%). While BAL is tough in terms of Ks, their bats are quieter on the road (89 wRC+ over L30 days on road vs righties - 300+ PA sample). 10/L13 righties have hit this vs BAL I’m home starts.

BAL +133

0.67u

Bet to +130

Featured Insight
Orioles hitters are slugging .398 versus relief pitchers since last season -- tied for ninth-best in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have allowed a SLG of .416 since last season -- second-worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP since last season -- seventh-lowest in MLB. DiamondbacksRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fifth-lowest in MLB.

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Sunday MLB Props: Gallen Among 3 Picks
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 3, 2023 UTC

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The Orioles are 44-9 (.830) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Ryan Mountcastle has a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .446 (37-for-83) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 37 of 210 batters (18%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .457 (210 PA's) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .325 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	BAL	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +110
Sep 2nd	BAL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI -102
Aug 31st	@LAD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAD +145
Aug 30th	@LAD	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +152
Aug 29th	@LAD	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +130

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P	85	4.2	7	4
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1.1	1	0
LC.Perez, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	1	0
RY.Cano, P	22	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	2
2G.Henderson, SS	2-5	1	2
3A.Santander, DH	1-4	1	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0
4R.McKenna, RF	0-1	0	0
5R.O'Hearn, RF	2-5	1	2
5R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-5	1	2
6A. Hicks, LF	0-3	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-1	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	3-5	1	1
8R.Urias, 3B	2-4	2	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	2-2	1	0
9J.Westburg, PH	1-2	1	1
9J.Westburg, 2B	1-2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	99	5.1	4	5
LK.Nelson, P	10	0	0	3
RR.Thompson, P	8	0.2	0	0
RB.Jarvis, P	49	2	2	0
RM.Castro, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-5	2	1	1
2K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-4	1	1	1
4E. Longoria, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6P.Smith, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6E.Rivera, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
7C.Walker, PH	1-2	1	1	1
7C.Walker, 1B	1-2	1	1	1
8J.Herrera, C	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	1	0	0