Orioles vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2023

Orioles at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 5-4	+1.5-167	o9-118	+108
Phillies 4-6	-1.5+140	u9-105	-130

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

July 25, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -125 (F5)

1.25u

PHI -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -130

Over 9-110

0.55u

Bet to -114

T.Walker o4.5 Ks-118

1.18u

As I wrote about before his last start, Walker has been excellent of late - over this line in 7/L8, and he’s over this line in 8/9 on the year at home. The Orioles have pretty stark road splits (24% K% vs righties vs 19% at home). 20/L25 righty starters over this line at home vs BAL this season.

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The Orioles are 17-13 (.567) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Jorge Mateo struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Andrew Bellatti had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bryson Stott is batting .304 this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .302 (58-for-192) against Dean Kremer this season -- tied for fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .169 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)-- 92nd Percentile and .375 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (third worst among qualified SPs)-- fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	BAL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -120
Jul 23rd	@CLE	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -130
Jul 22nd	@CLE	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -126
Jul 21st	@CLE	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -120
Jul 20th	MIL	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9	MIL -110

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	92	6	5	2
RS.Fujinami, P	21	2	3	0
RY.Cano, P	14	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
1J.Mateo, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Mountcastle, DH	2-2	2	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
7A.Hays, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8C.Cowser, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	104	5.2	4	2
LM.Strahm, P	28	1.2	2	1
RY.Marte, P	27	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	1