Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2023

Orioles at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Baltimore Orioles

10-17

0 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

14-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
K.Bradish			2.83	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 10-17	+1.5-160	o8-105	+125
Rays 14-14	-1.5+130	u8-115	-150

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 21, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

BAL +130

TB o2.5 (F5)+115

Z.Eflin o17.5 Outs-150

$100.00

Effin is a huge home/road splits pitcher. Elite at home, but easy to rough up on the road. Small sample size vs orioles lineup - so I’m falling back on his home stats along side the fact that he’s 6-1 L7 home games hitting this with the 1L being against the Braves line up. Again, not a huge play for me here but locking it in

TB -146

Under 8-110

TB -135

0.5u

Bet to -140

Dabbundo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Anthony Dabbundo•
Jul 21, 2023 UTC
Koerner's MLB Strikeout Projections for Friday
Sean Koerner•
Jul 21, 2023 UTC
MLB NRFI Model Picks for Friday
Billy Ward•
Jul 21, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's MLB Best Bets for Friday
Action Network Staff•
Jul 21, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Orioles are 16-12 (.571) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Anthony Santander has a miss rate of only 4% on fastballs down since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Zach Eflin has located his fastball down 48% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Anthony Santander has a groundball rate of just 30% on fastballs this season -- ninth lowest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% against Zach Eflin fastball this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (26/63) against Kyle Bradish when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 6.57 (89.0 IP) against division opponents since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Rays' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	13-15	8-11	5-4	7-9	6-5
Orioles	10-17	4-7	6-10	4-11	6-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	11-15-2	8-9-2	3-6	7-7-2	4-7
Orioles	13-11-3	8-1-2	5-10-1	9-4-2	4-7-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	14-14	9-10	5-4	9-7	5-6
Orioles	10-17	5-6	5-11	5-10	5-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	BAL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -175
Jul 19th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +106
Jul 19th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +114
Jul 18th	@TEX	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	TEX -130
Jul 16th	@KC	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	KC -222

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Jake Mangum
OF
Mangum is out with groin
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Bradish, P	93	6	5	2
RS.Fujinami, P	12	1	1	1
LC.Perez, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7A. Hicks, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A. Hicks, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8R.Urias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	87	7	8
LC.Poche, P	15	1	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	19	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Margot, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
6B.Lowe, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7H.Ramirez, DH	2-3	0	0	1
8J.Siri, CF	1-3	1	1	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0