Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2023

Orioles at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

0 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
K.Bradish			2.83	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 5-4	+1.5-160	o8-105	+125
Rays 4-6	-1.5+130	u8-115	-150

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 21, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

BAL +130

TB o2.5 (F5)+115

Z.Eflin o17.5 Outs-150

$100.00

Effin is a huge home/road splits pitcher. Elite at home, but easy to rough up on the road. Small sample size vs orioles lineup - so I’m falling back on his home stats along side the fact that he’s 6-1 L7 home games hitting this with the 1L being against the Braves line up. Again, not a huge play for me here but locking it in

TB -146

Under 8-110

TB -135

0.5u

Bet to -140

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The Orioles are 16-12 (.571) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Anthony Santander has a miss rate of only 4% on fastballs down since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Zach Eflin has located his fastball down 48% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Anthony Santander has a groundball rate of just 30% on fastballs this season -- ninth lowest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% against Zach Eflin fastball this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (26/63) against Kyle Bradish when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 6.57 (89.0 IP) against division opponents since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	BAL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -175
Jul 19th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +106
Jul 19th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +114
Jul 18th	@TEX	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	TEX -130
Jul 16th	@KC	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	KC -222

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Bradish, P	93	6	5	2
RS.Fujinami, P	12	1	1	1
LC.Perez, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7A. Hicks, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A. Hicks, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8R.Urias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Westburg, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	87	7	8
LC.Poche, P	15	1	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	19	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3M.Margot, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
6B.Lowe, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7H.Ramirez, DH	2-3	0	0	1
8J.Siri, CF	1-3	1	1	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0