Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

12-18

9 - 4

Boston Red Sox

17-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 12-18	-1.5+130	o8.5-102	-130
Red Sox 17-15	+1.5-155	u8.5-118	+110

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

April 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 8.5-105

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

BAL -130

1.54u

BAL -117

E.Valdez u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

Batting like a blind person

Under 8.5-108

BAL -120

2.5u

BAL -120

0.83u

Bet365 1:26 am.

BAL -115 (F5)

0.58u

B365 has -110. Bet to -120

Featured Insight
Orioles have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 29% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% over the last week -- sixth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 44% against the Orioles RPs over the last week -- ninth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Masataka Yoshida batted .327 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez had an average fastball velocity of 97.4 MPH last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (36/49) this season -- 4th highest among in AL; League Avg: 64% -- 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Grayson Rodriguez this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- seventh Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 78.6 MPH (10 batted balls) this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 10-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 14 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	16-16	6-8	10-8	12-12	4-4
Orioles	11-19	5-9	6-10	4-12	7-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	16-15-1	6-7-1	10-8	11-12-1	5-3
Orioles	14-13-3	9-3-2	5-10-1	9-5-2	5-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	17-15	8-6	9-9	14-10	3-5
Orioles	12-18	7-7	5-11	6-10	6-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117
Apr 9th	BAL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +110
Apr 7th	@LAA	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -119
Apr 7th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	LAA +102
Apr 6th	@LAA	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115

Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
SP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	94	5.2	5	2
RJ.Webb, P	14	1.1	1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	0.2	0	1
RY.Cano, P	4	0.1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Baumann, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	1	2
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Hays, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	1-3	1	0	1
7C.Cowser, LF	3-5	2	2	4
8J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	85	5	4	1
RJ.Slaten, P	31	2	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	17	0.2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	6	0.2	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	19	0.2	1	0
RI.Campbell, P	28	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.O'Neill, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3M.Yoshida, LF	1-5	0	0	1
4T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	2-3	0	0	1
5C.Wong, PH	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, 2B	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, C	1-1	1	1	1
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9P.Reyes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0