Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Orioles at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

4-4

3 - 7

Boston Red Sox

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.24	12-11
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 4-4	-1.5+130	o9.5-106	-120
Red Sox 4-4	+1.5-158	u9.5-114	+100

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

September 10, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BAL -113

BAL -105

1.05u

Featured Insight
Orioles Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for seventh-lowest in MLB. Red Sox have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- sixth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fifth-highest in MLB (155 games). The Red Sox have allowed 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- sixth-highest in MLB (156 games).

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Sunday MLB Props: Bet Bello & 2 More
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 10, 2023 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 30-52 (.366) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .654 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .471 (355 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (128/208) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 86% (12/14) against Brayan Bello -- highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has averaged 97.4 MPH on fastballs this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	BAL	L 12-13	-1.5 L	O 10	BAL -142
Sep 8th	BAL	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 10.5	BAL +100
Sep 6th	@TB	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +144
Sep 5th	@TB	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +138
Sep 4th	@TB	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 8	BOS +102

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	89	4.1	6	2
LC.Irvin, P	39	2.2	3	0
RJ. Krehbiel, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	1	0
5C.Mullins, CF	1-4	1	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0
7A. Hicks, RF	1-3	1	1
8A.Frazier, 2B	2-3	0	2
9R.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	92	5	4	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	17	1	3	0
RG.Whitlock, P	31	2	3	0
RN.Robertson, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	2	0	1
3J.Turner, DH	2-5	1	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
5A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Story, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Abreu, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Urias, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-3	1	0	1