Red Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2023

Red Sox at Rays

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Boston Red Sox

4-4

7 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.36	2-3
B.Bello			4.24	12-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 4-4	+1.5-205	o8-110	+102
Rays 3-5	-1.5+175	u8-110	-120

Monday 8:10 p.m.

September 04, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

A.Civale u5.5 Ks-144

BOS +114

1.14u

BOS +114

0.4u

A.Civale u16.5 Outs-110

Under in 4/5 as a Ray - seemingly getting the innings management treatment from Tampa. He gets Boston today - they’re running a 113 wRC+ and .800 OPS over the L30 days vs righties (both top 7), and are also top 7 in wRC versus Civale’s two top pitches, the cutter and curveball. Have faced him this season, so some familiarity there (5.2 IP in that start). TBR stretched their rotation back to 5 actual starters this turn through, so the bullpen is a bit fresher.

The Red Sox are just 30-52 (.366) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .865 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Zack Littell has allowed an OPS of .788 (459 PAs) since last season -- ninth worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (182/306) against Brayan Bello since last season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 99th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 52% (209/399) on sliders this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	@CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	TB -148
Sep 2nd	@CLE	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9	CLE -120
Sep 1st	@CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -180
Aug 30th	@MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -126
Aug 29th	@MIA	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8	TB +102

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	96	6	7	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	13	1	2	0
RK.Jansen, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Abreu, CF	1-5	1	0	0
1W.Abreu, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-3	2	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	0-2	1	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	2-4	2	1	4
5A.Duvall, RF	1-4	0	0	1
5A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0	1
6M.Yoshida, LF	2-4	1	1	2
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-0	0	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Urias, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	98	5.1	12	3
RC.Devenski, P	18	0.2	1	1
LJ.Diekman, P	14	1	2	0
RA.Kittredge, P	29	0.2	0	3
RE.Ramirez, P	11	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Lowe, RF	2-4	1	0
2L.Raley, CF	0-4	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	1	0
4B.Lowe, 2B	1-3	1	2
5H.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	1
6J.Aranda, 1B	0-3	0	0
7O.Basabe, 3B	0-3	0	0
8V.Brujan, SS	1-3	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0