Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

14 - 1

New York Yankees

6-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			6.65	4-8
K.Bradish			2.83	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 5-4	-1.5+127	o8.5-110	-127
Yankees 6-4	+1.5-152	u8.5-110	+105

Thursday 11:05 p.m.

July 06, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

BAL -1.5+130

1.3u

NYY +105

0.95u

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-112

1.5u

Projecting closer to -190

BAL -130

0.77u

73% as away favorites- Bmore is so fucking back

BAL -132

BAL -130

0.38u

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The Yankees are 30-7 (.811) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .684.

Jorge Mateo struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jhoan Duran had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jorge Mateo has struck out in 26% of PA's since last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Luis Severino has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 111 opportunities (4%) since last season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 11% -- fifth Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 69 of Luis Severino's 280 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 25%) since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	BAL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	BAL -115
Jul 4th	BAL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9	NYY -120
Jul 3rd	BAL	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -105
Jul 2nd	@STL	L 1-5	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	NYY -105

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RK.Bradish, P	92	6	5
LN.Vespi, P	20	2	1
RE.Bazardo, P	21	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	4-7	3	2	5
1G.Henderson, 3B	4-7	3	2	5
2A.Rutschman, C	1-3	2	0	1
2J.McCann, PH	1-2	1	0	0
2J.McCann, C	1-2	1	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	2-4	1	0	0
3J.Mateo, SS	1-1	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	3-4	1	0	4
4R.O'Hearn, RF	3-4	1	0	4
5C.Mullins, DH	1-4	1	0	2
6C.Cowser, CF	0-3	1	0	0
7J.Westburg, 2B	2-5	2	0	1
8A.Frazier, LF	3-6	1	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	2-6	1	0	1
9R.Urias, 1B	2-6	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	77	2.2	3	7
RA. Abreu, P	44	0.2	0	6
RD. García, P	62	2.2	1	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	12	1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	23	1	1	1
RI.Kiner-Falefa, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0
2G.Torres, 2B	1-4	0
3A.Rizzo, DH	1-3	0
3O.Cabrera, LF	1-1	1
4H.Bader, CF	1-3	0
5J. Donaldson, 3B	0-3	0
6B.McKinney, RF	0-4	0
7D.LeMahieu, 1B	1-4	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	0-3	0
9J.Trevino, C	1-3	0