Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2023

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • Amazon Prime Video

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

9 - 6

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2
T.Wells			3.64	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-166	o8-110	+122
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+138	u8-110	-145

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

May 24, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

BAL +125

2.5u

N.Cortes u5.5 Ks-108

0.93u

NYY -0.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.48u

N.Cortes u5.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Cortes has only generated a 10% swinging strike rate and the whiff rate is down on all 3 of his main pitches this year. The Orioles are a tough team to K and his best chance to rack up Ks is the 7/8 hitters but I’m only giving him a ~20% chance to face that part of the order a 3rd time. Projecting this closer to -160

N.Cortes o5.5 Ks-132

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N.Cortes u17.5 Outs+105

1.5u

Under this line in 6/9. Seeing a spike in his hard hit rate (40%, vs 35% last season) and average launch angle (27.5%, vs 19.2% last season). BAL has hit lefties well - 120 wRC+ and .792 OPS are 6th and 8th respectively. They also have the third highest walk rate (10.9%) and generally take a more patient approach at the plate. Nestor is throwing 4 pitches per PA (same as last season), but his chase rate is down significantly - orioles should be able to capitalize on that. Overall, he’s really struggling the third time through the order (15/36, 1.491 OPS, 6 HR). Orioles are +.800 OPS both the 2nd and 3rd time through. 16/19 lefties under this line vs BAL.

A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-115

$57.50

Under 8.5-120

1.2u

Under 8.5-115

0.46u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

NYY -140

1.4u

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The Orioles are 6-10 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 23rd	BAL	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8	NYY -176
May 21st	@CIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -132
May 20th	@CIN	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 10.5	NYY -148
May 19th	@CIN	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	NYY -171
May 18th	@TOR	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYY +112

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	95	5	8	5
RM.Baumann, P	9	1	0	0
RM. Givens, P	17	0.1	0	1
LD.Coulombe, P	22	1.2	3	0
RF.Bautista, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	2	0	1
4R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	2-4	1	0	1
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
7J.McCann, C	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Mateo, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9G.Henderson, PH	1-2	1	0	2
9G.Henderson, 3B	1-2	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	89	6	5	4
RJ. Cordero, P	26	0.1	1	4
RA. Abreu, P	17	1.1	1	0
LN.Ramirez, P	20	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-4	2	2	3
2A.Judge, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	2-4	2	1	2
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Calhoun, PH	0-0	1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0