Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 26, 2024

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

1 - 10

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Cole			3.41	8-5
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5	+1.5-155	o8-112	+142
Yankees 8-6	u8	-1.5+130	u8-108	-170

Thursday 11:05 p.m.

September 26, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

Under 8-112

1.12u

NYY -159

NYY -155

0.65u

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-102)

Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% over the last week -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Yankees RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Yankees are batting .291 with RISP this month -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .304 (24-for-79) against Orioles RPs with RISP this month -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Pick, Odds -- 9/26
Justin Perri•
Sep 26, 2024 UTC

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The Yankees are 139-14 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Orioles are 160-12 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.105 since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Joey Wentz has allowed an OPS of .833 (786 PAs) since last season -- sixth worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 39% since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .576 (727 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 -- 95th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .056 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .582 -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 25th	BAL	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -130
Sep 24th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -170
Sep 22nd	@ATH	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -180
Sep 22nd	@ATH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -185
Sep 21st	@ATH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -192

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	69	5	9	1
RY.Cano, P	16	0.1	1	3
LC.Perez, P	8	0.1	0	2
RB.Baker, P	29	1.1	4	2
RM.Bowman, P	18	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0
1J.Holliday, PH	1-1	0	0
1J.Holliday, SS	1-1	0	0
2J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	0
3H.Kjerstad, RF	0-1	0	0
4C.Cowser, LF	0-3	0	0
4A.Slater, PH	1-1	1	0
5A.Rutschman, DH	1-4	0	0
6R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-3	0	0
6R.Mountcastle, PH	1-1	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-2	0	0
7E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	1
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	1
8C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0
9J.McCann, C	1-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	101	6.2	5	0
RT.Kahnle, P	17	0.2	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	15	0.2	1	0
LT.Hill, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	2	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-2	2	1	2
4A.Wells, C	0-3	1	0	1
5G.Stanton, DH	2-4	2	1	4
6J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Dominguez, LF	0-2	1	0	0
7A.Verdugo, LF	1-1	1	1	1
8A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
9A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0