Padres vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Padres at Mets

8:10 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

1 - 5

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
A.Mazur			7.49	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-185	o8.5-110	+114
Mets 7-6	-1.5+155	u8.5-110	-135

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

A.Mazur u4.5 Ks-175

0.57u

SD +100

Over 8.5-110

$55.00

NYM -114

0.88u

Under 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -101

Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Mets allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Padres are 9-4 (.692) after a road loss this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

The Mets are just 15-9 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .846.

The Padres are 27-3 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .811.

The Mets are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Ha-seong Kim is batting .325 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Jose Quintana has thrown his curveball 27% of the time since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 37% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (422/844) when ahead in the count since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (31/87) against Jose Quintana on low breaking pitches since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 0 Percentile.

Adam Mazur has walked 7 of 41 batters (17%) this month (2 games) -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	SD	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -112
Jun 13th	MIA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -209
Jun 12th	MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -160
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Mazur, P	84	3.2	4	2
RJ.Brito, P	36	2.1	2	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	23	1	2	1
RS.Kolek, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-3	1	1	1
8H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	88	6	6	1
RD.Nunez, P	27	2	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	1	0	2
3J.Martinez, DH	3-3	2	2	3
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0