Padres vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Padres at Mets

8:10 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

17-11

1 - 5

New York Mets

19-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
A.Mazur			7.49	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 17-11	+1.5-185	o8.5-110	+114
Mets 19-9	-1.5+155	u8.5-110	-135

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

A.Mazur u4.5 Ks-175

0.57u

SD +100

Over 8.5-110

$55.00

NYM -114

0.88u

Under 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -101

Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Mets allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Padres are 9-4 (.692) after a road loss this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

The Mets are just 15-9 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .846.

The Padres are 27-3 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .811.

The Mets are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Ha-seong Kim is batting .325 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- eighth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Jose Quintana has thrown his curveball 27% of the time since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 37% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (422/844) when ahead in the count since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (31/87) against Jose Quintana on low breaking pitches since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 0 Percentile.

Adam Mazur has walked 7 of 41 batters (17%) this month (2 games) -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 6-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mets' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	14-14	8-5	6-9	9-12	5-2
Padres	15-13	12-4	3-9	9-6	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	9-19	4-9	5-10	9-12	0-7
Padres	10-17-1	4-11-1	6-6	5-9-1	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	19-9	12-1	7-8	15-6	4-3
Padres	17-11	12-4	5-7	11-4	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	SD	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -112
Jun 13th	MIA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -209
Jun 12th	MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -160
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Mazur, P	84	3.2	4	2
RJ.Brito, P	36	2.1	2	1
RE.De Los Santos, P	23	1	2	1
RS.Kolek, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-3	1	1	1
8H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	88	6	6	1
RD.Nunez, P	27	2	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	1	0	2
3J.Martinez, DH	3-3	2	2	3
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0