Padres vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Padres at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

San Diego Padres

4-3

11 - 1

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Houck			3.12	9-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-173	o8.5-112	+120
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+145	u8.5-108	-141

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 29, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 8.5-105

SD +119

$1190.00

Over 8.5-110

0.91u

Under 8.5+100

BOS -0.5 (F5)+100

$50.00

SD +119

2.38u

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases+100

BOS -135 (F5)

1.35u

Under 8.5-102

1.02u

BOS -135

1.35u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Featured Insight
Padres had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score last season -- third lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .820 this month -- fourth best in MLB. Padres RPs have allowed an OPS of .804 (370 PAs) this month -- second worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Ha-seong Kim is slugging just .389 since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Houck has allowed a SLG of just .290 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela has a swing rate of 48% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for seventh highest among hitters with at least 118 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .432 (19-for-44) against Michael King on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth worst among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.

12 of Tanner Houck's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 98th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .240 (49 Total Bases / 204 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	SD	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	SD -159
Jun 25th	TOR	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -130
Jun 24th	TOR	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -165
Jun 23rd	@CIN	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +136
Jun 22nd	@CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -118

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	89	6	6	1
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	2	0
LA.Davis, P	14	1	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	3-5	2	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2T.Wade, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-5	2	0	1
4M.Machado, DH	2-5	2	2	5
5D.Solano, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5D.Peralta, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5D.Peralta, LF	1-1	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	3-5	1	1	2
7H.Kim, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8B.Sullivan, C	2-5	1	1	2
9B.Johnson, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	80	4.1	4	7
LB.Horn, P	45	2.2	2	2
RZ.Kelly, P	31	1	2	0
LD.Smith, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-3	1	1	1
1R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
1R.Gonzalez, SS	0-0	0	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5R.McGuire, C	0-0	0	0	0
6C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Wong, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0