Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Padres at Reds

10:40 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

6-14

0 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

9-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 6-14	-1.5+130	o9-119	-120
Reds 9-11	u0.5	+1.5-155	u9-102	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks-124

0.81u

@The_Oddsmaker

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks-124

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

0.55u

J.Musgrove o4.5 Ks-120

0.6u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

0.91u

CIN +100

CIN -101

CIN +103

1.03u

Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Reds allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games last season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Reds are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are just 1-89 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Jake Cronenworth has a miss rate of only 11% on outside fastballs since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Andrew Abbott has located his fastball away 49% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is slugging .667 on non-fastballs this season -- third best among hitters with at least 66 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Andrew Abbott has allowed a SLG of .444 non-fastballs this season -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (24-for-79) against Andrew Abbott when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- ninth Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of .631 (41 Total Bases / 65 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .382 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (63/228) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@LAD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +142
May 19th	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	LAD +160
May 18th	@LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +160
May 17th	@LAD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CIN +250
May 15th	@ARI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI +130

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Musgrove, P	66	3	3
LA.Morejon, P	35	2	1
RJ.Brito, P	16	1.2	2
LY.Matsui, P	24	1	0
RS.Kolek, P	1	0.1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Abbott, P	92	7	2
RF.Cruz, P	16	1	2
RA.Diaz, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Hurtubise, LF	0-3	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	0	1
3J.Candelario, 1B	0-3	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-0	0	0
4S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
6M.Ford, DH	0-3	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9W.Benson, CF	1-2	1	0
9W.Benson, RF	1-2	1	0