Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Padres at Reds

10:40 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

0 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+130	o9-119	-120
Reds 0-0	u0.5	+1.5-155	u9-102	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks-124

0.81u

@The_Oddsmaker

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks-130

0.77u

like this one from @The_Oddsmaker

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks-124

#tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

0.55u

J.Musgrove o4.5 Ks-120

0.6u

A.Abbott o4.5 Ks+114

0.5u

CIN +104 (F5)

0.52u

Over 9-112

1.12u

Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Reds allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games last season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Reds are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are just 1-89 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Jake Cronenworth has a miss rate of only 11% on outside fastballs since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Andrew Abbott has located his fastball away 49% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is slugging .667 on non-fastballs this season -- third best among hitters with at least 66 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Andrew Abbott has allowed a SLG of .444 non-fastballs this season -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (24-for-79) against Andrew Abbott when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- ninth Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of .631 (41 Total Bases / 65 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .382 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (63/228) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@LAD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +142
May 19th	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	LAD +160
May 18th	@LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +160
May 17th	@LAD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CIN +250
May 15th	@ARI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI +130

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Musgrove, P	66	3	3
LA.Morejon, P	35	2	1
RJ.Brito, P	16	1.2	2
LY.Matsui, P	24	1	0
RS.Kolek, P	1	0.1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Abbott, P	92	7	2
RF.Cruz, P	16	1	2
RA.Diaz, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Hurtubise, LF	0-3	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	0	1
3J.Candelario, 1B	0-3	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-0	0	0
4S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
6M.Ford, DH	0-3	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9W.Benson, CF	1-2	1	0
9W.Benson, RF	1-2	1	0