Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Circa

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Recent form has Chris Bassitt as good of an option on the mound for Toronto. In three starts so far this month, Bassitt has accumulated a 1.08 WHIP and 4.08 ERA; thus, he's featured better control and run prevention skills in that time than his seasonal numbers have shown. His 1.34 WHIP and 4.27 ERA for the season further indicate that he's been good to this point, especially in comparison to the struggling Tyler Phillips of the Phillies. Phillips takes the mound with a less-than-desirable overall ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.22, but it's his form over the last little while that's really the differentiator-and not in a good way. Over his last three games, Phillips has been hammered, wearing a fat 13.91 ERA and a WHIP of 2.27, signaling clear inability to limit damage and control baserunners. The added confidence comes from Bassitt having a home ERA of 4.21 supported by a WHIP of 1.41 against him. On the other hand, Phillips gives up an ERA of 7.02 on the road and his WHIP is at 1.38 in support to show he is most vulnerable away from home. Also, Bassitt's ERA of 4.90 in night games well surpasses Phillips' 7.65 ERA under the lights. That is to say, based on these statistics, the starting pitching matchup mostly favors Toronto. It's the Toronto bullpen that really tips the scales in their favor. Over their last three games, the Blue Jays' bullpen has an incredible WHIP of 0.67 and an ERA of 1.21, while the Phillies have an ERA of 3.07 this season for their relievers; moreover, their recent misfortune points out a big advantage for Toronto late in the game. Making things even tougher on the Phillies, they have been ice-cold at the plate against right-handed pitching, putting up a collective .182 batting average over their last five contests. This poor streak against right-handers boosts the edge for Bassitt and the Blue Jays in this matchup. Additionally, the Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games, with the implication that they elevate to these affairs. With all of those factors in its favor—strong recent pitching from Bassitt, the struggles of Phillips, an ineffective Phillies offense against right-handers, a dominant bullpen—the Blue Jays are well-positioned to take a win tonight.

Avery