Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 2, 2023

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Philadelphia Phillies

0-0

8 - 9

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			3.66	9-7
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 0-0	-1.5+150	o7.5+100	-118
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-181	u7.5-120	-101

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 02, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

PHI -1.5+145

PHI -120 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -130

Over 7.5+100

$25.00

B.Garrett u16.5 Outs-125

Over the L6 weeks, the Phillies rank 9th and 5th in wRC+ and OPS vs lefties respectively - 7/10 lefty starters under this line in that span - incl a 5 inning performance by Garrett. Overall, Garrett is under in 13/20 starts, incl 6/10 at home. He’s getting torched the third time through the order (22/68, .861 OPS allowed) and the Marlins have been cautious with him - has been pulled at 81 pitches or less in 4/L6.

Featured Insight
Marlins Right Handed Hitters have struck out 25% against LHP since last season -- third-highest in MLB. PhilliesRPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters since last season -- third-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP over the last two weeks -- fifth-highest in MLB. MarlinsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth-highest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 9-104 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

31% of Bryan De La Cruz strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 54% of Zack Wheeler's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (152 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (183/414) when behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 1st	PHI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -137
Jul 31st	PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -116
Jul 30th	DET	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 7	MIA -159
Jul 29th	DET	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -158
Jul 28th	DET	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIA -161

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	98	6	4	2
LM.Strahm, P	24	1.1	2	2
RJ.Hoffman, P	14	0.2	0	0
LG.Soto, P	11	1	0	1
RC.Kimbrel, P	18	1	0	1
RD.Covey, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-5	0	0	0
1R.Castro, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
2A.Bohm, 1B	4-6	1	0	3
3B.Harper, DH	1-5	1	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-6	0	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	3-5	1	0	1
6T.Turner, SS	0-5	2	0	0
7E.Sosa, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
7B.Marsh, PH	1-2	1	1	2
7B.Marsh, LF	1-2	1	1	2
8G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0	1
9J.Rojas, CF	1-6	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	95	5	5	3
RH.Brazoban, P	21	0	0	2
LS.Okert, P	24	1	2	0
RJ.Chargois, P	26	2	2	0
LA.Nardi, P	19	1	2	0
RD.Robertson, P	18	1	1	1
RJ.Lopez, P	21	1	0	0
LT.Scott, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-6	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-6	1	1	1
3J.Bell, 1B	4-5	2	1	2
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-6	3	1	1
5A.Garcia, RF	0-4	1	0	1
6J.Burger, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
7J.Sanchez, LF	3-5	0	0	2
8J.Wendle, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Berti, PH	1-2	0	0	2
8J.Berti, SS	1-2	0	0	2
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0
9Y.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	0-1	1	0	0