Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Phillies at Marlins

5:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

8-8

6 - 7

Miami Marlins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			5.35	2-2
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 8-8	-1.5-125	o7-110	-205
Marlins 6-8	+1.5+105	u7-110	+170

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 12, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

PHI -1.5-122

MIA +169

1.69u

MIA +1.5+105

1.05u

MIA +175 (F5)

1.75u

PHI -1.5-135

Red October is upon us

PHI -0.5 (F5)-140

Wheeler F5

PHI -2.5+120

0.5u

Phillies run line is my religion

PHI -1.5-144

B.Garrett o4.5 Hits Allowed+115

1.15u

Ballpark pal projects 5.6 hits and +ev bet with devig odds of -106 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 5.8 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (6 games). The Marlins have allowed 7.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (7 games).

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The Phillies are 115-83 (.581) since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Whit Merrifield has an OPS of just .694 since last season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .542 (373 PAs) since last season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

The last hit on a Braxton Garrett breaking pitch was September 7th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. -- Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 40.

Zack Wheeler has struck out 39% (39/99) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	PHI	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +103
May 10th	PHI	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +164
May 8th	@LAD	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 9	LAD +217
May 8th	@LAD	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +265
May 7th	@LAD	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +270

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	80	4	2	6
RO.Kerkering, P	7	1	1	0
RS.Turnbull, P	18	1	2	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	11	1	0	0
LM.Strahm, P	20	1	3	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	11	1	1	0
LG.Soto, P	4	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Merrifield, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
1W.Merrifield, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Bohm, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3B.Harper, DH	1-3	2	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-5	1	1	3
5B.Stott, 2B	2-2	1	0	0
5B.Stott, SS	2-2	1	0	0
6E.Sosa, SS	1-3	1	0	2
6K.Clemens, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6K.Clemens, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	1
8C.Pache, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	80	5.1	8	5
LA.Nardi, P	15	0.2	1	1
RC.Faucher, P	8	1	0	0
LT.Scott, P	39	2	1	0
RA.Bender, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-3	1	0	1
2B.De La Cruz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	0-5	1	0	0
3N.Fortes, C	0-0	1	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	1-3	2	1	3
5J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	0	0	1
5E.Rivera, PH	1-1	0	0	1
6N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Myers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Myers, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7V.Brujan, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-2	0	0	1
9T.Gray, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Gray, 3B	0-1	0	0	0