Phillies vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

Phillies at Nationals

10:45 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

12-8

1 - 9

Washington Nationals

7-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Williams			2.03	6-1
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 12-8	-1.5	-1.5-110	o8.5-102	-185
Nationals 7-12	u7.5	+1.5-110	u8.5-115	+154

Friday 10:45 p.m.

September 27, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Featured Insight
Phillies right-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. Phillies left-handed hitters have struck out 32% against RHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 69-89 (.437) this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bryce Harper is batting .289 since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .291 (166-for-571) against Trevor Williams since the 2022 season -- tied for third worst among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP-- third Percentile.

77% of non-fastball strikeouts for Bryce Harper are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 79% of Trevor Williams non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (404/1,107) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 4-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Nationals' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	10-10	6-3	4-7	1-2	9-8
Phillies	12-9	8-4	4-5	9-7	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	12-8	7-2	5-6	3-0	9-8
Phillies	10-11	7-5	3-6	8-8	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	8-12	5-4	3-8	2-1	6-11
Phillies	13-8	9-3	4-5	10-6	3-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	KC	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +145
Sep 25th	KC	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	KC +114
Sep 24th	KC	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7	KC +165
Sep 22nd	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CHC +170
Sep 21st	@CHC	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +114

Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	59	2	2	6
LT.Gilbert, P	36	2	1	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	10	1	0	0
LM.Strahm, P	15	1	1	0
RJ.Ruiz, P	16	1	0	1
LT.Banks, P	31	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2E.Sosa, SS	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
3K.Clemens, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3K.Clemens, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-2	0	0	0
4W.Wilson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Hays, LF	2-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	77	5	5	0
LR.Garcia, P	9	1	1	0
RE.Salazar, P	9	1	1	0
RT.Rainey, P	15	1	1	1
LJ.La Sorsa, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	1-4	2	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Yepez, 1B	3-4	3	0	1
4K.Ruiz, C	2-5	0	0	3
5S.Garrett, DH	3-4	2	1	3
6L.Garcia, 2B	3-5	1	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Young, CF	3-4	0	0	1
9N.Nunez, SS	0-3	0	0	0